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Longlea vs Longwarry — Which is Safer?

Compare climate risk between Longlea, Victoria and Longwarry, Victoria. Our analysis uses data from BOM, CSIRO, and state hazard authorities to score each suburb across 6 climate hazards.

37/100
Moderate
30/100
Low
Hazard
Flood38/10038/100
Bushfire16/10031/100
Heat72/10063/100
Storm49/10021/100
Coastal20/10014/100
Cyclone28/10012/100

How to Interpret These Scores

Each hazard is scored from 0 (minimal risk) to 100 (severe risk). Scores are derived from BOM historical data, CSIRO climate projections, and state hazard authority mapping. A score of 50 means the property is in the moderate range — above average risk but not extreme. Scores above 67 indicate high risk requiring due diligence.

Minimal
0-16
Low
17-33
Moderate
34-50
Elevated
51-66
High
67-83
Severe
84-100

Insurance Cost Trajectory

Based on the hazard scores for these suburbs, current annual insurance premiums are estimated around A$6,096. With projected climate changes under RCP 8.5, premiums could rise to approximately A$8,534 by 2030 and A$15,850 by 2050. These projections align with Insurance Council of Australia data showing 28% average premium increases nationally between 2022-2025, with higher-risk areas seeing 80-120% increases.

Current
A$6,096
2030 (RCP 4.5)
A$8,534
2050 (RCP 8.5)
A$15,850

Property Value Climate Impact

Rising insurance premiums directly impact property values. Research from the Insurance Council of Australia and climate risk analysts shows that properties in areas with higher climate risk can experience a climate value drag. For a median-priced home, this could mean a potential impact of around A$48,770 or more over time.

Verdict

Longwarry has a lower overall climate risk score (30/100) compared to Longlea (37/100). We recommend getting an address-level report for properties in both suburbs before making a purchase decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Longlea or Longwarry safer from flooding?
Longlea has a flood risk score of 38/100, while Longwarry scores 38/100. A lower score indicates lower flood risk. Get an address-level flood risk report for a specific property.
Which suburb has lower bushfire risk?
Longlea scores 16/100 for bushfire risk. Longwarry scores 31/100. Fire risk depends on proximity to vegetation and local fire history.
Should I buy in Longlea or Longwarry?
Both suburbs have climate considerations. Longwarry has a lower overall climate risk score. We recommend getting a full ClimateNest report for any specific property you're considering, which includes 8 hazard scores, insurance projections, and actionable recommendations.

Explore Detailed Reports

Longlea Flood RiskLongwarry Flood RiskLonglea Should I Buy?Longwarry Should I Buy?

Check Your Flood Risk Now

Check Longlea's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

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Get Your Flood Risk Report — A$69

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections