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Penshurst vs Pentland Hills — Which is Safer?

Compare climate risk between Penshurst, Victoria and Pentland Hills, Victoria. Our analysis uses data from BOM, CSIRO, and state hazard authorities to score each suburb across 6 climate hazards.

42/100
Moderate
41/100
Moderate
Hazard
Flood47/10032/100
Bushfire61/10057/100
Heat73/10072/100
Storm45/10045/100
Coastal10/10014/100
Cyclone15/10026/100

How to Interpret These Scores

Each hazard is scored from 0 (minimal risk) to 100 (severe risk). Scores are derived from BOM historical data, CSIRO climate projections, and state hazard authority mapping. A score of 50 means the property is in the moderate range — above average risk but not extreme. Scores above 67 indicate high risk requiring due diligence.

Minimal
0-16
Low
17-33
Moderate
34-50
Elevated
51-66
High
67-83
Severe
84-100

Insurance Cost Trajectory

Based on the hazard scores for these suburbs, current annual insurance premiums are estimated around A$6,164. With projected climate changes under RCP 8.5, premiums could rise to approximately A$8,630 by 2030 and A$16,026 by 2050. These projections align with Insurance Council of Australia data showing 28% average premium increases nationally between 2022-2025, with higher-risk areas seeing 80-120% increases.

Current
A$6,164
2030 (RCP 4.5)
A$8,630
2050 (RCP 8.5)
A$16,026

Property Value Climate Impact

Rising insurance premiums directly impact property values. Research from the Insurance Council of Australia and climate risk analysts shows that properties in areas with higher climate risk can experience a climate value drag. For a median-priced home, this could mean a potential impact of around A$49,310 or more over time.

Verdict

Pentland Hills has a lower overall climate risk score (41/100) compared to Penshurst (42/100). We recommend getting an address-level report for properties in both suburbs before making a purchase decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Penshurst or Pentland Hills safer from flooding?
Penshurst has a flood risk score of 47/100, while Pentland Hills scores 32/100. A lower score indicates lower flood risk. Get an address-level flood risk report for a specific property.
Which suburb has lower bushfire risk?
Penshurst scores 61/100 for bushfire risk. Pentland Hills scores 57/100. Fire risk depends on proximity to vegetation and local fire history.
Should I buy in Penshurst or Pentland Hills?
Both suburbs have climate considerations. Pentland Hills has a lower overall climate risk score. We recommend getting a full ClimateNest report for any specific property you're considering, which includes 8 hazard scores, insurance projections, and actionable recommendations.

Explore Detailed Reports

Penshurst Flood RiskPentland Hills Flood RiskPenshurst Should I Buy?Pentland Hills Should I Buy?

Check Your Flood Risk Now

Check Penshurst's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections