Climate Risk Assessment: Fyshwick, ACT

Fyshwick, Australian Capital Territory· 2609
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Fyshwick, ACT, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. While bushfire risk is relatively low, the suburb should prepare for increasing temperatures and potential flood events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Fyshwick

increasing

Flood

60/100

Fyshwick faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near the Molonglo River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

40/100

Fyshwick has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized nature and distance from dense bushland. However, ember attacks from nearby fires are still a potential concern.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to grasslands
  • ·Ember attack potential
increasing

Heat

70/100

Fyshwick is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. The urban heat island effect can amplify temperatures, posing risks to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Fyshwick is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.

stable

Wind

24/100

Moderate wind risk — gusty summer winds

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — spring/summer thunderstorms

stable

Social

18/100

Moderate social stability — high public sector

increasing

Energy

32/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Fyshwick

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Fyshwick is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. The urban heat island effect can amplify temperatures, posing risks to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Lack of green spaces

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Fyshwick faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near the Molonglo River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Fyshwick is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Fyshwick has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized nature and distance from dense bushland. However, ember attacks from nearby fires are still a potential concern.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to grasslands
  • ·Ember attack potential
  • ·Dry vegetation

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential for ember attack during bushfires.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Molonglo River
Elevation Range
550-580m
Flood Zone
Identified Floodplain

Several businesses in Fyshwick have experienced flooding in the past, highlighting the need for improved flood mitigation measures.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
2km to Mount Mugga Mugga Nature Reserve
Planning Overlay
ACTmapi Bushfire Prone Areas
Bushfire Prone Area
No

While not a designated bushfire prone area, ember attack is still a potential risk during severe bushfire events.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The urban heat island effect in Fyshwick can increase temperatures by several degrees compared to surrounding areas.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not Applicable
Erosion Risk
Not Applicable

Historical Climate Events

2018
stormModerate

Severe thunderstorms caused flash flooding in parts of Fyshwick, damaging businesses and disrupting traffic.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January 2020 resulted in record high temperatures in Canberra, placing strain on infrastructure and causing health concerns.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall led to localized flooding in low-lying areas of Fyshwick, causing minor damage to some businesses.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Fyshwick is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, driven primarily by more frequent and intense heatwaves and increased flood risk due to heavier rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Increase Green Spaces

Near-term

Plant more trees and create green spaces to mitigate the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to require more resilient construction materials and designs that can withstand extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Fyshwick's Climate Risk Profile

Fyshwick, an industrial suburb of Canberra, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to its low-lying areas and urban environment. The primary concerns are increased flooding from more intense rainfall events and the exacerbation of heatwaves due to the urban heat island effect.

Flooding poses a significant threat to businesses and infrastructure in Fyshwick. The Molonglo River and nearby drainage systems can overflow during heavy rainfall, causing damage to properties and disrupting operations. Climate projections indicate that rainfall intensity is likely to increase, further elevating the risk of flooding in the future.

Heatwaves are another major concern for Fyshwick. The suburb's industrial landscape, with its abundance of concrete and asphalt, contributes to the urban heat island effect, making it hotter than surrounding areas. This can lead to increased energy consumption for cooling, as well as health risks for workers and residents, especially during prolonged periods of high temperatures.

While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of the ACT, Fyshwick is not entirely immune. Ember attacks from distant fires can still pose a threat, particularly to properties with flammable materials. It is important for businesses and residents to take precautions to protect their properties from bushfire risks.

Adapting to these climate challenges will require a multi-faceted approach, including improved drainage infrastructure, increased green spaces to mitigate the urban heat island effect, and community awareness programs to prepare for extreme weather events.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Government Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Fyshwick?

The main climate change risks for Fyshwick are increased flooding due to heavier rainfall events and more frequent and intense heatwaves.

How will climate change affect businesses in Fyshwick?

Climate change could disrupt business operations due to flooding, heatwaves, and potential supply chain disruptions. Businesses may also face increased insurance costs.

What can I do to prepare my property for climate change?

You can take steps to improve drainage around your property, install insulation to reduce heat gain, and ensure your property is adequately insured against flood and storm damage.

Where can I find more information about climate change in the ACT?

You can find more information about climate change in the ACT on the ACT Government's Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate website.

Is Fyshwick likely to become uninhabitable due to climate change?

While Fyshwick will face challenges due to climate change, it is unlikely to become uninhabitable. With appropriate adaptation measures, the suburb can remain a viable place to live and work.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections