Climate Risk Assessment: Fyshwick, ACT
Fyshwick is an industrial suburb in Canberra facing moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding from the Molonglo River and increasing heatwave intensity. Bushfire risk is relatively low but not negligible.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Fyshwick is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. The urban heat island effect can amplify temperatures, posing risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·High density of buildings
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
flood Risk
Fyshwick faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near the Molonglo River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·River proximity
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
coastal Risk
Fyshwick is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.
Projections (N/A)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Fyshwick has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized nature and distance from dense bushland. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to grasslands
- ·Ember attack potential
- ·Dry vegetation
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.2
2050
4.5
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurers may increase premiums in flood-prone areas.
Price Impact
Properties in flood zones may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess building resilience to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider potential for business disruption from extreme weather.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Molonglo River
- Elevation Range
- 550-570m
- Flood Zone
- Potentially affected by riverine flooding
Areas near the Molonglo River are most vulnerable. Check the ACT government flood maps for detailed information.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- 2km to nearest grassland
- Planning Overlay
- Check ACT Emergency Services Agency website
- Bushfire Prone Area
- No
While not a designated bushfire-prone area, ember attacks are possible during severe fire weather.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 28.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Expect more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. The urban heat island effect is pronounced in Fyshwick.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 150 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- N/A
- Erosion Risk
- N/A
Historical Climate Events
Climate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 6.0 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 4.0 | 4.2(+0.2) | 4.5(+0.5) |
| heat | 7.0 | 7.8(+0.8) | 8.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Fyshwick is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, as well as an increased risk of flooding. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and levees.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Near-termUpdate building codes to ensure new buildings are more resilient to extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Emergency Preparedness
ImmediateImprove emergency preparedness and response capabilities to deal with climate-related disasters.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Fyshwick's Climate Risk Profile
Fyshwick, an industrial hub in Canberra, is subject to several climate-related challenges. Its proximity to the Molonglo River makes it vulnerable to flooding, especially with projected increases in rainfall intensity. The urban environment also contributes to a significant urban heat island effect, exacerbating the impact of heatwaves.
While the risk of direct bushfire impact is lower compared to more vegetated suburbs, Fyshwick is still susceptible to ember attacks originating from fires in surrounding areas. The industrial nature of the suburb means that businesses need to consider climate resilience in their operations and infrastructure planning.
Climate change projections indicate a worsening of these risks in the coming decades. Both flood and heatwave intensity are expected to increase, potentially leading to disruptions to business operations and increased health risks for workers. Adapting to these changes will require a combination of infrastructure improvements, emergency preparedness measures, and community awareness programs.
Addressing these challenges proactively is crucial to ensure the long-term sustainability and resilience of Fyshwick as a key economic center in the ACT. Businesses and residents alike need to be aware of the risks and take steps to mitigate their impact.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Environment and Planning Directorate
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Fyshwick?
The main risks are increased flooding from the Molonglo River and more frequent and intense heatwaves. There is also a risk of ember attacks from bushfires.
How will climate change affect businesses in Fyshwick?
Businesses may face disruptions from flooding and heatwaves, as well as increased insurance costs. It's important to implement climate resilience measures.
What is the urban heat island effect, and how does it affect Fyshwick?
The urban heat island effect is when urban areas are significantly warmer than surrounding rural areas due to human activities. This effect exacerbates heatwaves in Fyshwick.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Fyshwick?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Businesses should ensure adequate cooling for workers.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Fyshwick?
You can find flood maps and information on the ACT Environment and Planning Directorate website.
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