Climate Risk Assessment: Fyshwick, ACT
Fyshwick, ACT, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. While bushfire risk is relatively low, the suburb should prepare for increasing temperatures and potential flood events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Fyshwick
Flood
Fyshwick faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near the Molonglo River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Fyshwick has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized nature and distance from dense bushland. However, ember attacks from nearby fires are still a potential concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to grasslands
- ·Ember attack potential
Heat
Fyshwick is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. The urban heat island effect can amplify temperatures, posing risks to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Fyshwick is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.
Wind
Moderate wind risk — gusty summer winds
Storm
Moderate storm risk — spring/summer thunderstorms
Social
Moderate social stability — high public sector
Energy
Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Fyshwick
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Fyshwick is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. The urban heat island effect can amplify temperatures, posing risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Lack of green spaces
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
flood Risk
Fyshwick faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near the Molonglo River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Proximity to waterways
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
coastal Risk
Fyshwick is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Fyshwick has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized nature and distance from dense bushland. However, ember attacks from nearby fires are still a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to grasslands
- ·Ember attack potential
- ·Dry vegetation
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.2
2050
4.5
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider potential for ember attack during bushfires.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Molonglo River
- Elevation Range
- 550-580m
- Flood Zone
- Identified Floodplain
Several businesses in Fyshwick have experienced flooding in the past, highlighting the need for improved flood mitigation measures.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- 2km to Mount Mugga Mugga Nature Reserve
- Planning Overlay
- ACTmapi Bushfire Prone Areas
- Bushfire Prone Area
- No
While not a designated bushfire prone area, ember attack is still a potential risk during severe bushfire events.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 28.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 5 days
The urban heat island effect in Fyshwick can increase temperatures by several degrees compared to surrounding areas.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 150 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not Applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not Applicable
Historical Climate Events
Severe thunderstorms caused flash flooding in parts of Fyshwick, damaging businesses and disrupting traffic.
SourceA prolonged heatwave in January 2020 resulted in record high temperatures in Canberra, placing strain on infrastructure and causing health concerns.
SourceHeavy rainfall led to localized flooding in low-lying areas of Fyshwick, causing minor damage to some businesses.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 60 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 40 | 4.2(+0.2) | 4.5(+0.5) |
| heat | 70 | 7.8(+0.8) | 8.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 10 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Fyshwick is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, driven primarily by more frequent and intense heatwaves and increased flood risk due to heavier rainfall events.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreIncrease Green Spaces
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to mitigate the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to require more resilient construction materials and designs that can withstand extreme weather events.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Fyshwick's Climate Risk Profile
Fyshwick, an industrial suburb of Canberra, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to its low-lying areas and urban environment. The primary concerns are increased flooding from more intense rainfall events and the exacerbation of heatwaves due to the urban heat island effect.
Flooding poses a significant threat to businesses and infrastructure in Fyshwick. The Molonglo River and nearby drainage systems can overflow during heavy rainfall, causing damage to properties and disrupting operations. Climate projections indicate that rainfall intensity is likely to increase, further elevating the risk of flooding in the future.
Heatwaves are another major concern for Fyshwick. The suburb's industrial landscape, with its abundance of concrete and asphalt, contributes to the urban heat island effect, making it hotter than surrounding areas. This can lead to increased energy consumption for cooling, as well as health risks for workers and residents, especially during prolonged periods of high temperatures.
While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of the ACT, Fyshwick is not entirely immune. Ember attacks from distant fires can still pose a threat, particularly to properties with flammable materials. It is important for businesses and residents to take precautions to protect their properties from bushfire risks.
Adapting to these climate challenges will require a multi-faceted approach, including improved drainage infrastructure, increased green spaces to mitigate the urban heat island effect, and community awareness programs to prepare for extreme weather events.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Government Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Fyshwick?
The main climate change risks for Fyshwick are increased flooding due to heavier rainfall events and more frequent and intense heatwaves.
How will climate change affect businesses in Fyshwick?
Climate change could disrupt business operations due to flooding, heatwaves, and potential supply chain disruptions. Businesses may also face increased insurance costs.
What can I do to prepare my property for climate change?
You can take steps to improve drainage around your property, install insulation to reduce heat gain, and ensure your property is adequately insured against flood and storm damage.
Where can I find more information about climate change in the ACT?
You can find more information about climate change in the ACT on the ACT Government's Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate website.
Is Fyshwick likely to become uninhabitable due to climate change?
While Fyshwick will face challenges due to climate change, it is unlikely to become uninhabitable. With appropriate adaptation measures, the suburb can remain a viable place to live and work.
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