Climate Risk in Gowrie, ACT
Gowrie is a suburb in the Australian Capital Territory that faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, and a high risk of bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gowrie
Flood
Gowrie faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. The area's topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Heavy rainfall
- ·Stormwater runoff
Bushfire
Gowrie has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate this risk during the bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry conditions
Heat
Gowrie experiences a moderate risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Rising temperatures due to climate change are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Climate change
Coastal
Gowrie is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Moderate wind risk — gusty summer winds
Storm
Moderate storm risk — spring/summer thunderstorms
Social
Moderate social stability — high public sector
Energy
Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gowrie
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Gowrie experiences a moderate risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Rising temperatures due to climate change are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
5.5
2050
6.0
flood Risk
Gowrie faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and localised stormwater runoff. The area's topography and drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Heavy rainfall
- ·Stormwater runoff
- ·Urban development
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.2
2050
4.5
coastal Risk
Gowrie is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Gowrie has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate this risk during the bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry conditions
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increased bushfire and flood risk.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check for flood risk and insurance coverage.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for heatwaves.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Murrumbidgee River
- Elevation Range
- 600-650m
- Flood Zone
- Low to Moderate
Localized flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall and stormwater runoff.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to bushland reserves
- Planning Overlay
- ACT Emergency Services Agency Bushfire Overlay
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Gowrie is located in a bushfire-prone area, requiring residents to take precautions during the bushfire season.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 28.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Heatwaves can pose a health risk to vulnerable populations.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 150 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not applicable
Historical Climate Events
The 2003 Canberra bushfires caused widespread damage and destruction in the region, including areas near Gowrie.
SourceA prolonged heatwave in January 2018 resulted in high temperatures and heat stress in Canberra.
SourceA severe thunderstorm in January 2020 caused flash flooding and property damage in parts of Canberra.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 40 | 4.2(+0.2) | 4.4(+0.4) |
| bushfire | 60 | 6.3(+0.3) | 6.6(+0.6) |
| heat | 50 | 5.5(+0.5) | 6.0(+1.0) |
| coastal | 10 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, under a high emissions scenario, Gowrie is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in bushfire and heatwave risks.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateClear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and ensure adequate insurance coverage.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Flood Resilience
Near-termInstall flood barriers, improve drainage systems, and elevate electrical equipment.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreReduce Heat Exposure
ImmediateInstall energy-efficient cooling systems, plant trees for shade, and stay hydrated during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Community Resilience
Long-termParticipate in community disaster preparedness programs and support vulnerable neighbours during emergencies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Gowrie's Climate Risk Profile
Gowrie, located in the southern part of Canberra, is a residential suburb that is exposed to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to bushland increases its vulnerability to bushfires, particularly during dry and windy conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires in the region, posing a significant threat to properties and residents.
Flooding is another concern for Gowrie, with heavy rainfall events capable of causing localised flooding. The suburb's stormwater drainage system may be overwhelmed during intense storms, leading to water damage to homes and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, further exacerbating the risk of flooding.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern for Gowrie, with rising temperatures posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas, making heatwaves even more dangerous. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves in the region.
While Gowrie is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could still affect the suburb. It is important for residents and local authorities to take proactive steps to adapt to these changing conditions and mitigate the risks posed by climate change.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Government Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Gowrie?
Gowrie faces risks from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires in Gowrie?
Clear vegetation around your property, develop a bushfire survival plan, and ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.
What should I do during a heatwave in Gowrie?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbours.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Gowrie?
The ACT Government's Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate provides information on flood risks and management.
How is the ACT Government addressing climate change?
The ACT Government has a climate change strategy that aims to reduce emissions and build resilience to climate impacts.
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