Climate Risk Profile: Narrabundah, ACT
Narrabundah faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland and waterways contributes to these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Narrabundah is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
5.5
2050
6.5
flood Risk
Narrabundah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and the nearby Molonglo River. While the area is not directly on the floodplain, localized flooding can occur.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.5
coastal Risk
Narrabundah is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Narrabundah has a moderate to high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. The risk is exacerbated by dry conditions and strong winds, particularly during the summer months.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.5
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increased climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Molonglo River
- Elevation Range
- 580-620m
- Flood Zone
- Low to Moderate
Localized flooding can occur due to intense rainfall events.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to Red Hill Nature Reserve
- Planning Overlay
- ACTmapi
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
The suburb borders bushland, increasing bushfire risk.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 28.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 150 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not Applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not Applicable
Historical Climate Events
The 2003 Canberra bushfires caused widespread damage and loss of life in the region, impacting Narrabundah with smoke and ember attacks.
SourceA prolonged heatwave in January 2018 resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased heat stress in Narrabundah.
SourceHeavy rainfall in 2022 caused localized flooding in parts of Canberra, including Narrabundah, leading to road closures and property damage.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 4.0 | 4.5(+0.5) | 5.5(+1.5) |
| bushfire | 6.0 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.5(+1.5) |
| heat | 5.0 | 5.5(+0.5) | 6.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Narrabundah is projected to experience a moderate increase in flood, bushfire, and heatwave risks under a high emissions scenario. Increased rainfall intensity and prolonged dry periods will exacerbate these hazards.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of localized flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire risk mitigation
ImmediateImplement bushfire risk reduction measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave preparedness
Near-termDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public health advice.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity awareness programs
Long-termConduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Narrabundah's Climate Risk Profile
Narrabundah, a suburb of Canberra, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall and the nearby Molonglo River, bushfires due to its proximity to bushland, and heatwaves affecting vulnerable populations.
Flooding is a concern due to increased rainfall intensity and potential urban development impacts. While not directly on a floodplain, localized flooding can occur, disrupting transportation and damaging property. Bushfire risk is elevated by dry conditions and strong winds, particularly during the summer months. The urban heat island effect exacerbates heatwave impacts, posing health risks to residents.
Climate projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades. Increased temperatures and altered rainfall patterns will lead to more frequent and severe extreme weather events. Adaptation measures are crucial to protect the community and infrastructure.
Residents should stay informed about weather forecasts and emergency alerts, maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards, and take steps to stay cool during heatwaves. Community-level initiatives, such as improved stormwater management and bushfire mitigation strategies, are also essential.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Government Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Narrabundah?
The main climate change risks in Narrabundah are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to climate change.
How can I prepare my property for flooding?
You can prepare your property for flooding by clearing gutters and downpipes, raising electrical appliances, and storing valuables in a safe place. Check the ACT flood maps to understand your property's risk.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
How can I reduce my bushfire risk?
Reduce your bushfire risk by maintaining your property, clearing vegetation around your home, and having a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.
Where can I find more information about climate change in the ACT?
You can find more information about climate change in the ACT on the ACT Government's Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate website.
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