Climate Risk in Ngunnawal, ACT
Ngunnawal faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. While coastal risks are negligible, residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ngunnawal is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.5
flood Risk
Ngunnawal faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Development and urbanization can increase runoff, exacerbating flood potential.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
coastal Risk
Ngunnawal is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Ngunnawal has a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to increased risk of bushfires and floods.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Ginninderra Creek
- Elevation Range
- 600-650m
- Flood Zone
- Low to Moderate
Areas near Ginninderra Creek are more susceptible to flooding during heavy rainfall events.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to grasslands and bushland reserves
- Planning Overlay
- ACT Emergency Services Agency Bushfire Overlay
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Properties bordering bushland areas require adequate firebreaks and defensible space.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 28.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Elderly residents and those with chronic illnesses are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 150 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not Applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not Applicable
Historical Climate Events
The 2003 Canberra bushfires caused widespread damage and loss of life in the region, impacting nearby suburbs.
SourceCanberra experienced a prolonged heatwave in January 2018, with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several consecutive days.
SourceHeavy rainfall caused localized flooding in parts of Canberra, including areas near Ginninderra Creek.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 4.0 | 4.3(+0.3) | 4.6(+0.6) |
| bushfire | 6.0 | 6.4(+0.4) | 6.8(+0.8) |
| heat | 6.0 | 6.8(+0.8) | 7.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Ngunnawal is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, driven primarily by more frequent and intense heatwaves and bushfires. Flooding risk is also expected to increase due to more extreme rainfall events.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateCreate and maintain firebreaks around properties, clear flammable vegetation, and develop a bushfire survival plan.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Flood Resilience
Near-termInstall flood barriers, elevate electrical systems, and ensure proper drainage around properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Heatwave Safety
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers, provide assistance to vulnerable residents, and promote awareness of heatwave risks.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreInvest in Water Conservation
Long-termInstall rainwater tanks, use water-efficient appliances, and implement water-wise landscaping practices.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Ngunnawal's Climate Risk Profile
Ngunnawal, located in the northern suburbs of Canberra, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to grasslands and bushland increases its vulnerability to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry periods. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire seasons.
Flooding is another concern for Ngunnawal, with potential for heavy rainfall events to cause localized flooding. Urban development and increased runoff can further contribute to this risk. The suburb is also likely to experience more frequent and severe heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable residents.
While Ngunnawal does not face direct coastal threats, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased demand for resources, could indirectly affect the community. It is essential for residents to take proactive measures to mitigate these risks and adapt to the changing climate.
Addressing these challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved urban planning, enhanced emergency preparedness, and community awareness programs. By working together, residents, local authorities, and other stakeholders can build a more resilient and sustainable future for Ngunnawal.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Government Environment and Planning
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Ngunnawal?
The main climate risks in Ngunnawal are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires?
You can prepare your property by creating firebreaks, clearing flammable vegetation, and developing a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in a cool place, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Ngunnawal?
You can find information about flood risks on the ACT Government Environment and Planning website, which provides flood maps and other resources.
Are there any government programs to help residents adapt to climate change?
Yes, the ACT Government offers various programs and incentives to help residents improve energy efficiency, conserve water, and prepare for extreme weather events.
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