Climate Risk Assessment for Page, ACT
Page, ACT, faces increasing risks from bushfires and heatwaves due to climate change. Flooding is a moderate concern, while coastal risks are negligible. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
The suburb is likely to experience increasingly frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.5
flood Risk
The suburb has a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
coastal Risk
Given its landlocked location, the suburb has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Projections (N/A)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
The suburb faces a high risk of bushfires due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions during summer.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to rising climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Ginninderra Creek
- Elevation Range
- 580-620m
- Flood Zone
- Low to Moderate
The area experiences localised flooding during heavy rainfall events. Drainage infrastructure is being upgraded to mitigate risks.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to nature reserves
- Planning Overlay
- ACTmapi Bushfire Prone Areas
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
The suburb is located in a designated bushfire-prone area, requiring adherence to specific building codes and vegetation management practices.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 28.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
The suburb experiences several days above 35°C each summer, increasing the risk of heat stress.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 150 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- N/A
- Erosion Risk
- N/A
Historical Climate Events
Climate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 4.0 | 4.5(+0.5) | 5.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 6.0 | 7.0(+1.0) | 8.0(+2.0) |
| heat | 6.5 | 8.0(+1.5) | 9.5(+3.0) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Page is projected to experience a notable increase in bushfire risk and heatwave intensity under a high emissions scenario. Flooding risk will also slightly increase.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement regular fuel reduction programs, community education initiatives, and upgrade firebreaks to protect properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Heatwave Resilience
Near-termEstablish cooling centers, promote water conservation, and implement urban greening strategies to reduce the urban heat island effect.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUpgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termImprove drainage infrastructure, construct flood barriers, and implement early warning systems to mitigate flood risks.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water-efficient landscaping, install rainwater tanks, and implement water restrictions during dry periods.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout page's Climate Risk Profile
Page, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is projected to experience a range of climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary concerns are escalating bushfire risk and more intense heatwaves, driven by rising temperatures and drier conditions.
Flooding poses a moderate threat, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. While the suburb is not directly on the coast, it is still important to consider the impact of extreme weather events on infrastructure and community well-being.
The increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves will place additional strain on vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. It is crucial to implement adaptation measures to mitigate the health impacts of extreme heat.
Bushfire risk is expected to rise significantly, necessitating proactive measures to reduce fuel loads and improve community preparedness. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety guidelines and have evacuation plans in place.
Overall, Page needs to prioritize climate resilience planning to protect its residents and infrastructure from the growing impacts of climate change. This includes investing in infrastructure upgrades, implementing early warning systems, and promoting community awareness.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Government
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Page?
The main risks are increased bushfire danger, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of flooding.
How can I prepare my home for bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant materials, and develop a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and relatives.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Page?
Consult the ACT Government's flood maps and emergency services website for detailed information.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The ACT Government has a climate change strategy that outlines its plans to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
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