Climate Risk in Weston Creek, ACT

Weston Creek, Australian Capital Territory· 2611
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Weston Creek faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Weston Creek

increasing

Flood

65/100

Weston Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

42/100

Weston Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Weston Creek is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Weston Creek is not exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

24/100

Moderate wind risk — gusty summer winds

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — spring/summer thunderstorms

stable

Social

18/100

Moderate social stability — high public sector

increasing

Energy

32/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Weston Creek

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Weston Creek is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Weston Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Weston Creek is not exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Weston Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire risk assessments.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Molonglo River
Elevation Range
550-650m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Molonglo River are prone to flooding.

Localized flooding can occur after heavy rainfall events, particularly in low-lying areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Stromlo Forest Park
Planning Overlay
ACT Emergency Services Agency Bushfire Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and clear vegetation around their properties.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, particularly during the summer months.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2018
stormModerate

Severe thunderstorms caused flash flooding and property damage in Weston Creek.

Source
2003
bushfireCatastrophic

The 2003 Canberra bushfires impacted Weston Creek, causing significant damage and displacement.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January 2020 resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire424.3(+0.1)4.5(+0.3)
heat707.6(+0.6)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Weston Creek is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by more frequent and intense heatwaves and increased flood risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and improve bushfire management practices.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Weston Creek's Climate Risk Profile

Weston Creek, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flooding.

Bushfire risk is another significant concern for Weston Creek, given its location near bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions, coupled with strong winds, can create ideal conditions for bushfires. Residents need to be vigilant and prepared, especially during the bushfire season.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Weston Creek, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate the impact of heatwaves in built-up areas.

While Weston Creek is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could indirectly affect the suburb. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to the changing climate and mitigate its potential impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Environment and Planning Directorate

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Weston Creek?

Weston Creek faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire in Weston Creek?

Clear vegetation around your property, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Weston Creek?

You can find flood maps and information on the ACT Environment and Planning Directorate website.

What is the urban heat island effect, and how does it affect Weston Creek?

The urban heat island effect is when urban areas are significantly warmer than surrounding rural areas due to human activities. This can exacerbate heatwaves in Weston Creek.

What is the ACT government doing to address climate change?

The ACT government has a climate change strategy that includes targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections