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Climate Risk in Alice, NSW

Alice, New South Wales
High Risk
Updated May 2026

Alice faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Overall Risk Score

72/100
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Alice

increasing

Flood

65/100

Alice faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

80/100

Alice has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Alice is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

20/100

Alice is not directly exposed to coastal risks, but sea level rise and coastal erosion could have indirect impacts.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

40/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

55/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

30/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

50/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Alice

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Alice is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Alice faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Alice is not directly exposed to coastal risks, but sea level rise and coastal erosion could have indirect impacts.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.0

2050

2.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

80/100

Alice has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures
  • 4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and streams
Elevation Range
Varies across the suburb
Flood Zone
Areas near creeks are prone to flooding

Some areas have experienced flooding in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay
RFS bushfire prone area map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Bushfire risk is a significant concern for properties near the bushland.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the region, causing damage to property and infrastructure.

Source
2013
bushfireMajor

Significant bushfires threatened the area, leading to evacuations and property loss.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions put strain on the community and infrastructure.

Source
2020
bushfireCatastrophic

The Black Summer bushfires had a devastating impact on the region, with widespread destruction and loss of life.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.0(+0.5)
bushfire808.7(+0.7)9.0(+1.0)
heat707.6(+0.6)7.9(+0.9)
coastal202.1(+0.1)2.2(+0.2)

By 2030, Alice is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased bushfire risk, and a higher likelihood of flooding.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve bushfire preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and install firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance flood resilience

Near-term

Elevate homes, install flood barriers, and improve drainage systems.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement heat mitigation strategies

Near-term

Plant trees to provide shade, install air conditioning, and improve building insulation.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a community emergency plan

Immediate

Establish evacuation routes, identify vulnerable residents, and coordinate emergency response efforts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Invest in water conservation

Long-term

Implement water restrictions, promote water-efficient appliances, and capture rainwater.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Alice's Climate Risk Profile

Alice is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to worsen in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.

Bushfire risk is elevated due to the suburb's proximity to bushland and the increasing frequency of dry, hot conditions. Heatwaves are becoming more common and intense, posing a threat to public health, especially for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. Flooding is a concern due to heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding.

While Alice is not directly on the coast, the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion could have indirect consequences for the region. It is important for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, implementing adaptation measures, and raising community awareness. By working together, we can build a more resilient and sustainable future for Alice.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Alice?

The main climate risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to worsen in the coming decades due to climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your property, develop a bushfire survival plan, and install firebreaks. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in my area?

Consult the local council's flood maps and the NSW State Emergency Service website for information about flood risks and preparedness measures.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is developing a climate strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in renewable energy, improving energy efficiency, and enhancing community resilience.

Are there any government grants available for climate adaptation measures?

Yes, there are various government grants available for homeowners and businesses to implement climate adaptation measures, such as installing solar panels, improving insulation, and building flood barriers. Check the relevant government websites for eligibility criteria and application details.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Alice, use our analysis tool.

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$7.2B
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Climate Risk in Alice Nsw, NSW: 2026 Assessment | ClimateNest