๐Ÿ“ฎ Arncliffe postcode: 2205

Bushfire Risk in Arncliffe, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Arncliffe, New South Walesยท Baysideยท 2205
The bushfire risk in Arncliffe is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires are still possible.Updated 25 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

3.0/10

The bushfire risk in Arncliffe is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires are still possible.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Arncliffe is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires are still possible.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Arncliffe, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2205
Region
Greater Sydney
Median property value
$1.6 million
Dominant hazard
extreme heat (5/10)
Highest high-risk exposure
10.4% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Arncliffe, New South Wales, has a the bushfire risk in arncliffe is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. however, ember attacks from distant fires are still possible. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

The urban environment provides a buffer against bushfire risk, but ember attacks are still a concern.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Arncliffe, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Arncliffe including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Arncliffe sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 10.4% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 71.5% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Arncliffe.

On ClimateNest's 0โ€“10 suburb hazard index, Arncliffe scores 2 for bushfire risk โ€” a lower exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Arncliffe can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.

Arncliffe located in Greater Sydney (postcode 2205), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $1.6 million, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Arncliffe.

Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Arncliffe is extreme heat (score 5/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+20% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look โ€” the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.

Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Arncliffe, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Arncliffe are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland2km to Wolli Creek Regional Park
BAL Overlay / ZoneNot significantly affected
Bushfire Prone AreaNo

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Plant more trees

Near-term

Increase tree canopy cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Install rainwater tanks

Long-term

Encourage residents to install rainwater tanks to reduce stormwater runoff and conserve water.

Est. cost: Low

Develop a coastal management plan

Long-term

Implement a plan to protect coastal areas from sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: High

Council & Emergency Services

Bayside Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 25 May 2026

Explore Arncliffe Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Arncliffe in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Arncliffe may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Arncliffe has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Arncliffe?

BAL ratings in Arncliffe depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Arncliffe?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Arncliffe may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Arncliffe?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What are the main climate risks in Arncliffe?

ClimateNest's suburb model rates Arncliffe's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 5/10 on a 0โ€“10 index, followed by damaging wind (4/10) and severe storm (4/10). These are suburb-level averages โ€” an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Arncliffe.

What share of Arncliffe is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 10.4% of Arncliffe in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 71.5% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform โ€” individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Arncliffe Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Arncliffe, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 ยท Australian addresses only ยท 8 hazard scores ยท Insurance trajectory ยท 2030 & 2050 projections