Climate Risk Profile: Ashby, NSW
Ashby, NSW, faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to the Clarence River makes it vulnerable to riverine flooding, which is expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ashby
Flood
Ashby is located near the Clarence River and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Ashby has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Ashby is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Ashby is located inland and has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes to riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail
Social
Moderate social stability — mixed urban density
Energy
Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ashby
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ashby is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.0
2050
6.5
flood Risk
Ashby is located near the Clarence River and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.5
coastal Risk
Ashby is located inland and has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes to riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
5.2
2050
5.5
bushfire Risk
Ashby has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation density
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property defensibility.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Obtain a building inspection to assess structural integrity.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Clarence River
- Elevation Range
- 5-10 meters
- Flood Zone
- Yes
The Clarence River is prone to flooding, and Ashby is located in a low-lying area that is susceptible to inundation.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent
- Planning Overlay
- https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/plan-and-prepare/bush-fire-prone-land
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
The area surrounding Ashby contains significant bushland, increasing the risk of bushfires.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 31.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Ashby experiences hot summers, with temperatures frequently exceeding 30 degrees Celsius.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 20 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Indirect
- Erosion Risk
- Low
Historical Climate Events
Climate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 65 | 7.0(+0.5) | 7.5(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 40 | 4.3(+0.3) | 4.5(+0.5) |
| heat | 55 | 6.2(+0.7) | 6.7(+1.2) |
| coastal | 50 | 5.2(+0.2) | 5.5(+0.5) |
By 2030, Ashby is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also increase slightly.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInstall flood barriers, elevate electrical systems, and improve drainage around properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termCreate a bushfire survival plan, clear vegetation around properties, and install firebreaks.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
ImmediateInstall air conditioning or fans, improve home insulation, and stay hydrated during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Education
Long-termParticipate in community workshops and training sessions on climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ashby's Climate Risk Profile
Ashby, located in the Clarence Valley of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The suburb's location near the Clarence River exposes it to riverine flooding, which is projected to become more frequent and severe due to increased rainfall intensity.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, with hotter and drier conditions increasing the likelihood of fires in the surrounding vegetation. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and stay informed about fire danger ratings.
Heatwaves are expected to become more common and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. It is important to have a plan for staying cool during heatwaves and to check on neighbors who may be at risk.
Sea level rise may indirectly affect Ashby through changes to riverine flooding. While the suburb is not directly on the coast, changes to the river's flow and drainage patterns could exacerbate flood risks. Residents should stay informed about local council plans for managing these risks.
Overall, Ashby faces a range of climate-related challenges that require proactive adaptation measures. By understanding the risks and taking steps to prepare, residents can protect themselves and their properties from the impacts of climate change.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Clarence Valley Council
Local Government Resources
Clarence Valley Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Ashby?
The main climate change risks for Ashby are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare my property for flooding?
You can prepare your property for flooding by installing flood barriers, elevating electrical systems, and improving drainage. It is also important to have a flood plan and to know where to go in the event of a flood.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay cool, stay hydrated, and check on vulnerable neighbors. If you do not have air conditioning, consider visiting a public cooling center.
How can I reduce my bushfire risk?
You can reduce your bushfire risk by clearing vegetation around your property, creating firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan. It is also important to stay informed about fire danger ratings.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Ashby?
You can find more information about climate change in Ashby on the Clarence Valley Council website and the NSW Government's climate change website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ashby, use our analysis tool.
Other Suburbs in New South Wales
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Ashby's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections