Bushfire Risk in Ashcroft, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
4.0/10Ashcroft has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- Ashcroft has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- Ashcroft, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2168
- Region
- Greater Sydney
- Median property value
- $1.6 million
- Dominant hazard
- extreme heat (5/10)
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 8.5% of land (riverine flood)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
Ashcroft, New South Wales, has a ashcroft has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
Residents in bushfire-prone areas should maintain their properties and have a bushfire survival plan.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Ashcroft, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Ashcroft including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
Ashcroft sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 5.4% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 79.5% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Ashcroft.
On ClimateNest's 0โ10 suburb hazard index, Ashcroft scores 2 for bushfire risk โ a lower exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Ashcroft can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.
Ashcroft located in Greater Sydney (postcode 2168), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $1.6 million, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Ashcroft.
Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Ashcroft is extreme heat (score 5/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+20% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look โ the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.
Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Ashcroft, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Ashcroft are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Bushfires in surrounding areas caused smoke haze and air quality concerns in Ashcroft.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Implement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Bushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement measures to reduce bushfire risk, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Community Awareness Programs
Long-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Ashcroft Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Ashcroft:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Ashcroft in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of Ashcroft may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Ashcroft has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in Ashcroft?
BAL ratings in Ashcroft depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Ashcroft?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Ashcroft may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Ashcroft?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What are the main climate risks in Ashcroft?
ClimateNest's suburb model rates Ashcroft's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 5/10 on a 0โ10 index, followed by damaging wind (4/10) and severe storm (4/10). These are suburb-level averages โ an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Ashcroft.
What share of Ashcroft is exposed to high riverine flood risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 8.5% of Ashcroft in high-risk zones for riverine flood, with a further 69.5% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform โ individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Ashcroft Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ashcroft, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 ยท Australian addresses only ยท 8 hazard scores ยท Insurance trajectory ยท 2030 & 2050 projections