Climate Risk Profile: Baryulgil, NSW
Baryulgil faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Baryulgil
Flood
Baryulgil faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and surrounding waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
The risk of bushfires in Baryulgil is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Baryulgil experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Baryulgil is not directly exposed to coastal risks, as it is located inland. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail
Social
Moderate social stability — mixed urban density
Energy
Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Baryulgil
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Baryulgil experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
flood Risk
Baryulgil faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and surrounding waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Inadequate drainage
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
coastal Risk
Baryulgil is not directly exposed to coastal risks, as it is located inland. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfires in Baryulgil is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.
- 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage for flood and bushfire risks.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Clarence River
- Elevation Range
- Varies, generally low-lying near the river
- Flood Zone
- Areas near the Clarence River are prone to flooding
Historical flood data indicates that Baryulgil has experienced several significant flood events in the past. The Clarence Valley Council provides flood maps and information to help residents prepare for and respond to flood events.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Surrounded by bushland
- Planning Overlay
- NSW Rural Fire Service bushfire prone land map
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Baryulgil is located in a designated bushfire prone area. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and have a bushfire survival plan in place.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 32°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Average maximum temperatures in January can reach high levels, increasing the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations. Heatwave events are becoming more frequent and intense.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 50 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not applicable
Historical Climate Events
Significant flooding occurred in the Clarence River catchment, impacting Baryulgil and surrounding areas.
SourceThe 2019-2020 bushfire season had significant impacts on the region, with widespread fires affecting air quality and property.
SourceSevere storms caused damage to property and infrastructure in the Clarence Valley, including Baryulgil.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 60 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 70 | 7.5(+0.5) | 8.0(+1.0) |
| heat | 40 | 4.5(+0.5) | 5.0(+1.0) |
| coastal | 10 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Baryulgil is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood, bushfire, and heat risks. Adaptation measures will be crucial to mitigate these impacts.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures to reduce the impact of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Management Plan
Near-termDevelop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Long-termConduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Baryulgil's Climate Risk Profile
Baryulgil, located in the Clarence Valley of New South Wales, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to its geographical location and environmental characteristics. The primary risks include flooding from the Clarence River and its tributaries, as well as bushfires due to the surrounding bushland.
Climate projections indicate that the region will experience higher average temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and altered rainfall patterns. These changes are likely to increase the frequency and intensity of both flood and bushfire events. The community needs to be proactive in implementing adaptation measures to mitigate these risks.
Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more severe riverine flooding. Bushfire risk is also elevated due to drier conditions and higher temperatures, which can create a more conducive environment for fires to start and spread rapidly.
While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the broader regional impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to agriculture and water resources, could indirectly affect Baryulgil. It is essential for residents and local authorities to work together to develop and implement strategies to enhance resilience and adapt to the changing climate.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW Rural Fire Service · Clarence Valley Council
Local Government Resources
Clarence Valley Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Baryulgil?
The main climate change risks for Baryulgil are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.
How can I prepare for flooding in Baryulgil?
You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured. It's also important to stay informed about weather forecasts and warnings.
What should I do to protect my property from bushfires?
To protect your property from bushfires, maintain your property by clearing vegetation, having a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring you have adequate insurance coverage.
Where can I find more information about climate change in the Clarence Valley?
You can find more information about climate change in the Clarence Valley on the Clarence Valley Council website and the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Clarence Valley Council is developing and implementing strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These strategies include improving energy efficiency, promoting renewable energy, and enhancing community resilience.
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