Climate Risk in Blowering, New South Wales

Blowering, New South Wales

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Blowering faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.5

Bushfire

4.5

Heat

7.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Blowering

increasing

Flood

65/100

Blowering faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Proximity to waterways

increasing

Bushfire

45/100

Blowering has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

·Drier conditions
·Higher temperatures

increasing

Heat

70/100

Blowering is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

stable

Coastal

10/100

Blowering is not exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Blowering

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Blowering is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Blowering faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Proximity to waterways
·Low-lying areas

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Blowering is not exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

45/100

Blowering has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

·Drier conditions
·Higher temperatures
·Surrounding bushland

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
4.Inquire about local emergency management plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Blowering Dam
Elevation Range: 250-300m
Flood Zone: Low-lying areas near the dam

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent to Kosciuszko National Park
Planning Overlay: RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 5 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 250 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019

bushfireMajor

The Dunns Road fire impacted the region, causing significant property damage and environmental harm.

Source

2016

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused the Tumut River to flood, inundating low-lying areas near Blowering.

Source

2013

heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in record high temperatures and increased demand for emergency services.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	65	7.0(+0.5)	7.5(+1.0)
bushfire	45	4.8(+0.3)	5.3(+0.8)
heat	70	7.7(+0.7)	8.2(+1.2)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Blowering is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a moderate rise in flood and bushfire risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and improve bushfire management practices.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Near-term

Create a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure new constructions are resilient to climate hazards.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Blowering's Climate Risk Profile

Blowering, NSW, is a rural locality that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall, higher bushfire risk from drier conditions, and more frequent heatwaves.

The risk of flooding is elevated due to the proximity of waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change projections indicate that rainfall intensity will increase, leading to a higher likelihood of flood events. Residents should be aware of local flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.

Bushfire risk is also a significant concern, with surrounding bushland creating a potential fire hazard. Higher temperatures and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Property owners should maintain their properties to reduce fire risk and stay informed about bushfire alerts.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. Residents should take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments. Local authorities may provide cooling centers during extreme heat events.

While coastal risks are minimal, the combined impact of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves necessitates proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Snowy Valleys Council

Local Government Resources

Snowy Valleys Council

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Blowering?

The main climate risks in Blowering are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase in frequency and intensity due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about local flood warnings?

You can find information about local flood warnings on the Bureau of Meteorology website and through local emergency services.

Is Blowering prone to drought?

While drought is a concern in regional NSW, the primary climate risks in Blowering are flooding, bushfires and heatwaves.

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2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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