Climate Risk Profile: Blueys Beach, NSW

Blueys Beach, New South Wales· MidCoast· 2428
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Blueys Beach is a coastal suburb in New South Wales that faces several climate-related risks. The area is particularly vulnerable to flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.1
Coastal
5.4

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Blueys Beach

increasing

Flood

65/100

Blueys Beach faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation of properties.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Bushfire

42/100

The area around Blueys Beach has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

71/100

Blueys Beach is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

54/100

Blueys Beach is exposed to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. The coastline is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Blueys Beach

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

71/100

Blueys Beach is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.6

2050

8.2

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Blueys Beach faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation of properties.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

54/100

Blueys Beach is exposed to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. The coastline is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.8

2050

6.3

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The area around Blueys Beach has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
  • 4.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Blueys Beach Creek
Elevation Range
0-10 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal floodplain

Low-lying areas near the creek are most vulnerable.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Booti Booti National Park
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Western and northern edges of the suburb are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves typically occur in January and February.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.1 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Blueys Beach.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the region caused smoky conditions and heightened fire danger in Blueys Beach.

Source
2020
stormMinor

A severe storm caused minor damage to properties and infrastructure in Blueys Beach.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted Blueys Beach, with temperatures exceeding 35 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire424.5(+0.3)4.7(+0.5)
heat717.7(+0.6)8.2(+1.1)
coastal545.8(+0.4)6.2(+0.8)

By 2030, Blueys Beach is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heatwave risks. Sea level rise will continue to exacerbate coastal erosion.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Protect Coastal Ecosystems

Near-term

Implement measures to protect and restore coastal ecosystems such as mangroves and dunes, which can provide natural protection against erosion and storm surge.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure that new buildings are more resilient to climate change impacts, such as flooding and bushfires.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Blueys Beach's Climate Risk Profile

Blueys Beach, located on the Mid North Coast of New South Wales, is a popular tourist destination known for its beautiful beaches and relaxed lifestyle. However, the suburb is increasingly exposed to the impacts of climate change, including rising sea levels, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and increased risk of flooding and bushfires.

The risk of flooding is a significant concern for Blueys Beach due to its low-lying coastal location. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm drainage systems and cause widespread inundation. Sea level rise is also exacerbating the risk of coastal erosion and inundation, threatening properties and infrastructure along the coastline.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region, posing health risks to residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The increasing temperatures can also impact tourism and outdoor activities.

While the bushfire risk is moderate, the presence of surrounding bushland means that Blueys Beach is not immune to the threat of bushfires, especially during hot, dry conditions. Residents should be prepared for potential bushfire events and have evacuation plans in place.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing adaptation measures such as improving drainage infrastructure, protecting coastal ecosystems, and promoting energy efficiency can help reduce the vulnerability of Blueys Beach to the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · MidCoast Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Blueys Beach?

Blueys Beach is primarily at risk from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. These risks are expected to increase in the future.

How will sea level rise affect Blueys Beach?

Sea level rise will exacerbate coastal erosion and increase the risk of inundation, potentially impacting beachfront properties and infrastructure.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves. It's also important to have a heatwave plan in place.

Is Blueys Beach prone to bushfires?

While the bushfire risk is moderate, the presence of surrounding bushland means that Blueys Beach is not immune to the threat of bushfires. Residents should be prepared for potential bushfire events and have evacuation plans in place.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

MidCoast Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. They are also working to improve drainage infrastructure and protect coastal ecosystems.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Blueys Beach?

You can find flood maps and information on the MidCoast Council website or contact the council directly for more details.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections