Climate Risk Assessment for Boree, NSW

Boree, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Boree faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. The area is particularly vulnerable to bushfires during dry periods. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Boree

increasing

Flood

45/100

Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, impacting low-lying areas and potentially disrupting infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

The area is susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry periods with high winds. Increased temperatures and drier conditions exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

50/100

Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Boree is not located near the coast, therefore coastal risks are minimal.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Boree

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, impacting low-lying areas and potentially disrupting infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Boree is not located near the coast, therefore coastal risks are minimal.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (N/A)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

The area is susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry periods with high winds. Increased temperatures and drier conditions exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to increased risk of extreme weather events.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency measures to mitigate heat impacts.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and drainage systems
Elevation Range
Variable
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near creeks

Local drainage capacity may be exceeded during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties adjacent to bushland are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
200 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted the region surrounding Boree, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas, disrupting traffic and damaging property.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.8(+0.3)5.1(+0.6)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)
heat505.6(+0.6)6.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Boree is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in heatwave frequency and intensity, as well as a higher risk of bushfires and flooding.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Planning

Immediate

Develop and implement a community bushfire preparedness plan, including evacuation routes and firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Establish a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate risks and promote adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Boree's Climate Risk Profile

Boree, NSW, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall, heightened bushfire danger due to drier conditions, and more frequent and severe heatwaves.

Flooding is a concern due to the potential for heavy rainfall events to overwhelm local drainage systems. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of these rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe flooding.

Bushfire risk is also a significant concern, with rising temperatures and drier conditions creating a higher risk of ignition and spread. The surrounding vegetation provides ample fuel for bushfires, making the area particularly vulnerable during dry periods.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban environment can exacerbate the effects of heatwaves, creating an urban heat island effect.

While Boree is not located near the coast, the impacts of climate change will still be felt through changes in rainfall patterns, temperature increases, and more frequent extreme weather events. Residents should take steps to prepare for these changes and mitigate their impact.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Boree?

The main climate change risks in Boree include increased flooding, more frequent and intense bushfires, and more severe heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Boree?

Increased climate risks may negatively impact property values in Boree, particularly for properties located in flood-prone or bushfire-prone areas.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Boree?

You can prepare for bushfires by creating a bushfire survival plan, clearing vegetation around your property, and ensuring you have adequate insurance coverage.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Boree?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Boree?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Boree from the local council, the NSW RFS, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections