Climate Risk Assessment: Breelong, NSW

Breelong, New South Wales

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Breelong faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events. The suburb is not exposed to coastal risks.

Overall Risk Score

52/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

4.5

Bushfire

6.0

Heat

5.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Breelong

increasing

Flood

45/100

Breelong faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Changes in land use

increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Breelong has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

·Increased temperatures
·Drier conditions

increasing

Heat

50/100

Breelong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

stable

Coastal

10/100

Breelong is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Breelong

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Breelong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

flood Risk

45/100

Breelong faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Changes in land use
·Aging infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

coastal Risk

10/100

Breelong is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

bushfire Risk

60/100

Breelong has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

·Increased temperatures
·Drier conditions
·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps
2.Assess bushfire risk
3.Consider heatwave impacts
4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Local creeks and streams
Elevation Range: Variable
Flood Zone: Potentially affected areas near waterways

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay: RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 3 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 300 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas.

2013

bushfireModerate

Bushfire impacted areas near Breelong, causing property damage.

2017

heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius.

2019

droughtMajor

Severe drought conditions affected the region, impacting agriculture and water resources.

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	45	4.8(+0.3)	5.0(+0.5)
bushfire	60	6.4(+0.4)	6.7(+0.7)
heat	50	5.6(+0.6)	6.0(+1.0)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Breelong is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of bushfires due to drier conditions. Flood risk will also increase due to more intense rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures.

Est. cost: Medium

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Water Conservation

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to address drought risks.

Est. cost: Low

About Breelong's Climate Risk Profile

Breelong, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall, bushfires due to dry conditions and proximity to bushland, and heatwaves that can strain infrastructure and pose health risks.

Flooding is a concern due to the potential for heavy rainfall events. The risk is exacerbated by changes in land use and aging infrastructure. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.

Bushfire risk is elevated due to the suburb's location and the increasing frequency of hot, dry summers. Maintaining properties and being prepared for bushfire season is crucial.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Ensuring access to cooling and staying hydrated during heatwaves is essential.

While Breelong is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the overall impact of climate change necessitates proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Breelong?

The main risks are increased flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.

How can I prepare for a flood in Breelong?

Check flood maps, have an evacuation plan, and secure your property.

What should I do during a heatwave in Breelong?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Breelong?

Clear vegetation around your home, have a bushfire survival plan, and monitor fire danger ratings.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Breelong?

Consult the local council, NSW government websites, and CSIRO reports.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Breelong, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Breelong →

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Breelong's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

Get Your flood Risk Report — A$69

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B

2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections