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Climate Risk Profile: Brogo, NSW

Brogo, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Brogo faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. While not directly impacted by coastal hazards, residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Brogo

increasing

Flood

45/100

Brogo faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Brogo has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

50/100

Brogo is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Brogo is not directly exposed to coastal risks. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this inland suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Brogo

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Brogo is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect (minimal)

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Brogo faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Brogo is not directly exposed to coastal risks. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this inland suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Brogo has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures
  • 4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Brogo River
Elevation Range
Varies, some low-lying areas
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near the river

Local knowledge of flood history is important.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to significant bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Regularly maintain property and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Plan for cooling during summer months.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted the region surrounding Brogo, leading to property damage and evacuations.

Source
2016
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas near the Brogo River.

Source
2019
bushfireMajor

The Black Summer bushfires significantly impacted the region, with widespread damage and smoke haze.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Brogo, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday2030205020302050
flood454.7(+0.2)4.9(+0.4)4.8(+0.3)5.1(+0.6)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.7(+0.7)6.6(+0.6)7.0(+1.0)
heat505.3(+0.3)5.6(+0.6)5.5(+0.5)5.9(+0.9)
coastal101.01.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Brogo is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased bushfire and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and implement flood barriers in vulnerable areas.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community bushfire education programs and assist residents with property maintenance to reduce fuel loads.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public health advice.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Water Conservation

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to address potential water scarcity due to climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Resilience Building

Near-term

Establish community support networks to assist residents during and after extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Brogo's Climate Risk Profile

Brogo, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity, bushfires exacerbated by drier conditions and higher temperatures, and heatwaves that can impact public health.

The risk of flooding is moderate, with potential for increased frequency and severity of events. Residents should be aware of local flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place. The bushfire risk is high, particularly during the dry season. Property owners should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with projections indicating more frequent and intense events. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are particularly at risk. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on neighbors during heatwaves.

While Brogo is not directly affected by coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased demand for emergency services, can still have significant consequences for the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW Emergency Services

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Brogo?

Brogo faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. These hazards are projected to become more frequent and intense in the future.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires in Brogo?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and evacuation procedures.

What should I do during a heatwave in Brogo?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Brogo?

Contact the local council or emergency services for information about flood maps and flood preparedness.

How is the local council addressing climate change in Brogo?

The local council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change. Contact the council for more information about their initiatives.

Will climate change affect my insurance premiums in Brogo?

It is possible that insurance premiums may increase due to the increasing risks of flooding, bushfires and heatwaves. Contact your insurer for more information.

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