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Climate Risk in Buckajo, New South Wales

Buckajo, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Buckajo faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Buckajo

increasing

Flood

45/100

Buckajo faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

The bushfire risk in Buckajo is relatively high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

50/100

Buckajo is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

As Buckajo is not located near the coast, the risk from coastal hazards is very low.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Buckajo

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Buckajo is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Buckajo faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Aging drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

As Buckajo is not located near the coast, the risk from coastal hazards is very low.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

The bushfire risk in Buckajo is relatively high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local Creeks
Elevation Range
Variable
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near creeks

Local creeks and drainage systems can be overwhelmed during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The proximity to bushland increases the risk of bushfires impacting properties.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves can pose a significant health risk, especially for vulnerable populations.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
100 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of the region.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Buckajo, leading to property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2020
bushfireMajor

The Black Summer bushfires had a significant impact on the region, with widespread property loss and environmental damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.8(+0.3)5.0(+0.5)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.6(+0.6)
heat505.6(+0.6)5.9(+0.9)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Buckajo is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in heatwave frequency and intensity. Bushfire risk is also expected to rise due to drier conditions.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade and maintain drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Planning

Immediate

Develop and implement bushfire preparedness plans for households and the community, including evacuation routes and firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Establish a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate risks and promote adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Buckajo's Climate Risk Profile

Buckajo, NSW, is a suburb that will likely experience increased climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary concerns are related to flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks.

Flooding is a significant concern due to increased rainfall intensity and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable, and aging drainage infrastructure may further compound the problem. Bushfire risk is also elevated due to the surrounding bushland and drier conditions. Higher temperatures and stronger winds can create ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly.

Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The elderly, children, and those with pre-existing health conditions are particularly susceptible to heat-related illnesses. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved infrastructure, community awareness programs, and individual preparedness measures. By taking proactive steps, Buckajo can enhance its resilience to the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Buckajo?

The main climate risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, create a firebreak, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Refer to the NSW RFS website for more information.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Contact your local council or visit the NSW SES website for flood maps and information on flood preparedness.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The local council is developing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Contact the council for more information.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Buckajo, use our analysis tool.

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$300B+
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30-120%
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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