Climate Risk Profile: Bulyeroi, NSW

Bulyeroi, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Bulyeroi faces increasing risks from bushfires and heatwaves, with moderate flood risk. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these hazards, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.2
Bushfire
6.5
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bulyeroi

increasing

Flood

42/100

Bulyeroi faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local topography and drainage capacity influence the extent of impact.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

65/100

The bushfire risk in Bulyeroi is relatively high due to the proximity of bushland and prevailing dry conditions during summer. Fire weather is projected to worsen.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Bulyeroi is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

15/100

Bulyeroi has a low coastal risk. It is far inland and not directly exposed to sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bulyeroi

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Bulyeroi is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.6

2050

8.2

Data source

flood Risk

42/100

Bulyeroi faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local topography and drainage capacity influence the extent of impact.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.3

Data source

coastal Risk

15/100

Bulyeroi has a low coastal risk. It is far inland and not directly exposed to sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.5

2050

1.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

65/100

The bushfire risk in Bulyeroi is relatively high due to the proximity of bushland and prevailing dry conditions during summer. Fire weather is projected to worsen.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.1

2050

7.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to rising climate risks, particularly bushfire and flood.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and drainage systems
Elevation Range
Variable, ranging from flat to gently sloping areas.
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near creeks and drainage lines.

Local drainage infrastructure may be inadequate to handle increased rainfall intensity.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Variable, with some properties adjacent to bushland.
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone area mapping.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties in bushfire prone areas are subject to specific building codes and regulations.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Urban areas may experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireMajor

The 2019-2020 bushfire season had significant impacts across NSW, including areas near Bulyeroi. Widespread smoke and property damage were reported.

Source
2017
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas, impacting some residential properties.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood424.5(+0.3)4.8(+0.6)
bushfire657.1(+0.6)7.8(+1.3)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal151.51.5

By 2030, Bulyeroi is projected to experience a notable increase in bushfire and heatwave risks. Flood risk will also increase slightly due to more intense rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire protection plan

Immediate

Establish firebreaks, clear vegetation around properties, and create evacuation routes.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Implement a heatwave action plan

Near-term

Identify vulnerable residents, establish cooling centers, and provide public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage capacity to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote water conservation measures

Long-term

Encourage residents to reduce water consumption to mitigate the impacts of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Bulyeroi's Climate Risk Profile

Bulyeroi, NSW, is projected to experience significant impacts from climate change. The primary concerns are increasing bushfire risk and more frequent heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns may also lead to increased flood risk.

The bushfire risk is driven by hotter, drier conditions and longer fire seasons. Properties near bushland are particularly vulnerable. Residents should maintain firebreaks and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves are expected to become more common and intense, posing health risks, especially for the elderly and those with chronic conditions. Ensuring access to cooling centers and implementing heat action plans are crucial.

While coastal risks are low due to its inland location, Bulyeroi is still indirectly affected by broader climate change impacts on the region. This includes potential disruptions to supply chains and increased demand on emergency services.

Adapting to these changes requires a community-wide effort, including individual preparedness, local government initiatives, and state-level policies. Investing in resilience measures will help protect Bulyeroi from the worst effects of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Bulyeroi?

The main risks are increasing bushfire risk, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and potential for increased flooding due to heavy rainfall.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan. Check the NSW RFS website for detailed guidance.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Contact your local council or the NSW State Emergency Service for information on flood maps and emergency preparedness.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

Contact the local council to inquire about their climate change strategy and initiatives.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Bulyeroi, use our analysis tool.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections