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Climate Risk Assessment for Bundemar, NSW

Bundemar, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Bundemar faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bundemar

increasing

Flood

60/100

Bundemar faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location within the Lachlan River catchment. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Climate change
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The area around Bundemar has a moderate bushfire risk. Grasslands and scattered bushland can fuel fires, particularly during dry periods with high winds.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
increasing

Heat

70/100

Bundemar is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. High temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Bundemar is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bundemar

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Bundemar is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. High temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Bundemar faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location within the Lachlan River catchment. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Climate change
  • ·Land use changes

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Bundemar is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Projections (N/A)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area around Bundemar has a moderate bushfire risk. Grasslands and scattered bushland can fuel fires, particularly during dry periods with high winds.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·Higher temperatures

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increased risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider the potential impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Lachlan River
Elevation Range
200-220m
Flood Zone
Likely in low-lying areas near the Lachlan River

Historical flood data indicates that Bundemar has experienced flooding in the past, and future events are likely to be more severe.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 5km
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The presence of grasslands and scattered bushland increases the risk of bushfires, particularly during dry periods.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
33.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The average maximum temperature in January is expected to increase in the future, leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
400 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2016
floodModerate

The Lachlan River flooded, impacting low-lying areas of Bundemar and surrounding farmland.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Bundemar experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source
2020
droughtModerate

Prolonged drought conditions impacted agricultural production and water availability in the region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Bundemar is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Water Conservation

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to address the impacts of drought and reduced rainfall.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Bundemar's Climate Risk Profile

Bundemar, located in the central west of New South Wales, is projected to experience significant impacts from climate change. The primary concerns are increased flooding risk, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate bushfire risk.

Flooding is a major concern due to the suburb's location within the Lachlan River catchment. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This can impact properties, infrastructure, and agricultural activities.

Heatwaves are also projected to become more common and intense. High temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. It is important to take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

Bushfire risk is moderate, with grasslands and scattered bushland providing fuel for fires. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the risk of bushfires in the future.

While Bundemar is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, can still affect the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Bundemar?

The main climate change risks for Bundemar are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate bushfire risk.

How will climate change affect property values in Bundemar?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Bundemar?

During heatwaves, it is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities.

What are the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is currently developing a climate strategy to address the impacts of climate change in the region. Please refer to the council website for more information.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Bundemar?

You can find more information about flood risks on the NSW Government website and the local council website.

Get your property's risk report

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