Climate Risk Assessment for Bureen, NSW

Bureen, New South Wales

High Risk

Updated May 2026

Bureen, NSW, faces increasing risks from bushfires, floods, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these hazards, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

72/100

High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.5

Bushfire

8.0

Heat

6.0

Coastal

2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bureen

increasing

Flood

65/100

Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, impacting properties near waterways and low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Urban development

increasing

Bushfire

80/100

The area is susceptible to bushfires due to proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions.

Key drivers:

·Drier conditions
·Increased fuel load

increasing

Heat

60/100

Increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

·Climate change
·Urban heat island effect

stable

Coastal

20/100

Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Key drivers:

·Distance from coast

stable

Wind

40/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

55/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

30/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

50/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bureen

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

·Climate change
·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, impacting properties near waterways and low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Urban development
·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Primary Drivers

·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.0

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

80/100

The area is susceptible to bushfires due to proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions.

Primary Drivers

·Drier conditions
·Increased fuel load
·Higher temperatures

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps
2.Assess bushfire risk
3.Consider heatwave resilience
4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Local creeks
Elevation Range: Variable
Flood Zone: Potentially affected areas near creeks

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay: RFS bushfire prone area map
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 3 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019

bushfireMajor

Severe bushfires impacted the region, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source

2017

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas, affecting local businesses and homes.

Source

2013

heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	65	6.8(+0.3)	7.1(+0.6)
bushfire	80	8.4(+0.4)	8.8(+0.8)
heat	60	6.6(+0.6)	7.2(+1.2)
coastal	20	2.0	2.0

By 2030, Bureen is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased bushfire risk, and a higher likelihood of flooding due to more intense rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties from inundation.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Create and maintain firebreaks, clear vegetation around properties, and develop evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, implement early warning systems, and provide support to vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education

Long-term

Raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies through workshops, information sessions, and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Bureen's Climate Risk Profile

Bureen is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns are projected to intensify these hazards in the coming decades.

Bushfire risk is elevated due to the suburb's proximity to bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events, particularly in low-lying areas and near waterways. Increased rainfall intensity due to climate change is expected to worsen flood risks. Infrastructure improvements and property-level flood mitigation measures are essential.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Ensuring access to cooling centers and implementing heatwave early warning systems can help reduce the health impacts of extreme heat.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort involving local government, emergency services, and the community. Implementing adaptation strategies and reducing greenhouse gas emissions are crucial for protecting Bureen from the worst impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Bureen?

The main climate change risks in Bureen include increased bushfire risk, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher likelihood of flooding due to more intense rainfall events.

How will climate change affect property values in Bureen?

Climate change may lead to decreased property values in high-risk areas due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What can I do to prepare my home for bushfires?

You can prepare your home for bushfires by creating and maintaining firebreaks, clearing vegetation around your property, and developing an evacuation plan.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Bureen?

You can find information about flood risks in Bureen on the local council's website, which provides flood maps and other relevant resources.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.