Climate Risk in Burragate, New South Wales

Burragate, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Burragate faces moderate climate risks, particularly from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern. Residents should prepare for increasing temperatures and more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Burragate

increasing

Flood

40/100

Burragate faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Burragate has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

50/100

Burragate experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Burragate has a low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Burragate

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Burragate experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Burragate faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Burragate has a low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Burragate has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood risk maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Towamba River
Elevation Range
200-300m
Flood Zone
Moderate

The Towamba River can cause flooding during heavy rain events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
RFS Bushfire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is surrounded by eucalyptus forests, which are highly flammable.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves can pose a significant risk to elderly and vulnerable residents.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
30 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireMajor

The Black Summer bushfires significantly impacted the region, causing widespread damage and displacement.

Source
2016
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas, disrupting transport and damaging property.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire707.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
heat505.5(+0.5)6.0(+1.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Burragate is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing most significantly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve bushfire preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and install firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade home insulation

Near-term

Improve insulation to reduce energy consumption and improve comfort during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Install rainwater tanks

Near-term

Collect rainwater for non-potable uses to reduce reliance on mains water and conserve water resources.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Support local climate action initiatives

Long-term

Participate in community programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and build resilience to climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Burragate's Climate Risk Profile

Burragate, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are bushfires, driven by increasing temperatures and drier conditions, and heatwaves, which pose a threat to vulnerable populations. Flooding is also a risk, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall.

Climate change projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades. Temperatures are expected to rise, leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves. Rainfall patterns may become more erratic, increasing the risk of both floods and droughts. The bushfire season is likely to lengthen, with a greater risk of large and intense fires.

Residents and property owners in Burragate should take steps to prepare for these risks. This includes maintaining firebreaks around properties, developing emergency plans, and ensuring adequate insurance coverage. It is also important to stay informed about weather forecasts and warnings.

The local council is working to address climate change risks through a range of initiatives, including improving drainage infrastructure, managing bushfire risk, and promoting water conservation. However, individual action is also essential to protect lives and property.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Burragate?

The main climate change risks in Burragate are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, installing firebreaks, and developing a bushfire survival plan. It is also important to ensure that your home is adequately insured.

What can I do to reduce my energy consumption during heatwaves?

You can reduce your energy consumption during heatwaves by improving your home's insulation, using fans instead of air conditioning, and avoiding strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

How can I conserve water in Burragate?

You can conserve water by installing rainwater tanks, using water-efficient appliances, and reducing your outdoor water use. It is also important to report any leaks or water wastage to the local council.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is working to address climate change through a range of initiatives, including improving drainage infrastructure, managing bushfire risk, and promoting water conservation. Contact the council for more information.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections