Climate Risk Profile: Burrangong, NSW

Burrangong, New South Wales· Hilltops· 2586

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Burrangong is a rural town in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly bushfire and heatwave events. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

4.5

Bushfire

6.0

Heat

5.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Burrangong

increasing

Flood

45/100

Burrangong faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is projected to increase slightly due to climate change.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Local topography

increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Burrangong has a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to grasslands and forested areas. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to further increase bushfire frequency and intensity.

Key drivers:

·Dry vegetation
·High temperatures

increasing

Heat

50/100

Burrangong experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwave events. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

stable

Coastal

10/100

Burrangong is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Burrangong

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Burrangong experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwave events. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves
·Urban heat island effect (minor)

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.4

2050

5.8

flood Risk

45/100

Burrangong faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is projected to increase slightly due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Local topography
·Creek overflows

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.8

2050

5.1

coastal Risk

10/100

Burrangong is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

bushfire Risk

60/100

Burrangong has a notable bushfire risk due to its proximity to grasslands and forested areas. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to further increase bushfire frequency and intensity.

Primary Drivers

·Dry vegetation
·High temperatures
·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.4

2050

6.8

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to bushfire and flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Burrangong Creek
Elevation Range: 300-350m
Flood Zone: Low-lying areas near Burrangong Creek

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent to town
Planning Overlay: https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 3 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 200 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: None
Erosion Risk: None

Historical Climate Events

2019

bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted the region surrounding Burrangong, causing property damage and evacuations.

2016

floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused Burrangong Creek to overflow, resulting in minor flooding of low-lying areas.

2013

heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Burrangong, with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several days.

2007

droughtModerate

Prolonged drought conditions impacted agricultural production in the Burrangong region.

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	45	4.7(+0.2)	4.9(+0.4)
bushfire	60	6.4(+0.4)	6.7(+0.7)
heat	50	5.3(+0.3)	5.6(+0.6)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Burrangong is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in bushfire and heatwave risks. Flooding risk is also expected to increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire protection plan

Immediate

Create a plan that outlines evacuation routes, firebreaks, and community preparedness measures.

Est. cost: Low

Implement a heatwave early warning system

Near-term

Establish a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Low

Upgrade flood defenses

Near-term

Improve drainage infrastructure and construct levees to protect low-lying areas from flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water through education and incentives.

Est. cost: Low

About Burrangong's Climate Risk Profile

Burrangong, located in the Hilltops region of New South Wales, is a rural community with a rich agricultural history. The town's climate is characterized by warm summers and cool winters, with rainfall distributed throughout the year. However, the region is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, including more frequent and intense bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding events.

The primary climate-related risks for Burrangong include bushfires, driven by dry vegetation and hot, windy conditions. The area has experienced several significant bushfires in the past, and the risk is projected to increase as climate change leads to hotter and drier conditions. Heatwaves are also a growing concern, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Flooding is another risk factor, with heavy rainfall events occasionally causing local creek overflows and inundation of low-lying areas. While the overall flood risk is moderate, it is important for residents to be aware of potential flood hazards and take appropriate precautions. The town's infrastructure and emergency services are working to mitigate these risks, but individual preparedness is also crucial.

Addressing these climate challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, adapting to the impacts of climate change, and building community resilience. This includes measures such as improving bushfire management practices, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and upgrading flood defenses. By working together, the community can protect itself from the worst impacts of climate change and ensure a sustainable future for Burrangong.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Hilltops Council

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Burrangong?

The main climate change risks for Burrangong are increased bushfire risk, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of flooding.

How will climate change affect property values in Burrangong?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

Hilltops Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans to mitigate the impacts of climate change on the community.

How can I prepare my home for bushfires?

You can prepare your home for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, installing firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.

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