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Climate Risk in Buttai, New South Wales

Buttai, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Buttai is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, with increasing temperatures and more extreme weather events projected. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Buttai

increasing

Flood

60/100

Buttai faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Buttai has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

40/100

Buttai experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Buttai is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Buttai

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Buttai experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Buttai faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Buttai is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Buttai has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Proximity to bushland

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage limitations.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Hunter River
Elevation Range
50-100m
Flood Zone
Moderate

The Hunter River poses a flood risk to low-lying areas in Buttai.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Buttai is designated as a bushfire-prone area due to its proximity to dense vegetation.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Average January maximum temperatures are expected to increase in the coming years.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not Applicable
Erosion Risk
Not Applicable

Historical Climate Events

2015
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Buttai caused property damage and evacuations.

Source
2016
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Buttai.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Buttai, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Significant flooding event impacted Buttai and surrounding areas, leading to widespread damage and displacement.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat404.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Buttai is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood, bushfire, and heat risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through community workshops and information campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Buttai's Climate Risk Profile

Buttai, NSW, is a region that will likely experience increased climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary concerns are related to flooding and bushfire risks, both of which are projected to intensify due to climate change.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, a direct consequence of climate change, will likely lead to more frequent and severe flood events. This poses a threat to property and infrastructure, potentially disrupting daily life and causing economic losses.

Bushfire risk is also high, given the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions create a more conducive environment for bushfires to ignite and spread rapidly. The combination of increased temperatures and reduced rainfall will extend the bushfire season and increase the intensity of fires, posing a direct threat to lives and property.

Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense, impacting vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The increasing average temperatures will also place stress on infrastructure, such as power grids and transportation networks.

While Buttai is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could still affect the suburb. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions and mitigate the risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW Government

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Flood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Buttai?

Buttai faces significant risks from flooding and bushfires, which are expected to worsen due to climate change. Heatwaves are also a growing concern.

How will climate change affect property values in Buttai?

Increasing climate risks may negatively impact property values in Buttai, particularly for properties located in flood-prone or bushfire-prone areas.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and elevating valuable items. Check your insurance policy for flood coverage.

How can I prepare for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your home, create a bushfire survival plan, and have an emergency kit ready. Stay informed about bushfire alerts and warnings.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Buttai?

Consult the NSW Government's climate change website, the Bureau of Meteorology, and CSIRO for the latest climate data and projections.

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