Climate Risk Profile: Bylong, NSW

Bylong, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Bylong faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, with increasing heatwave frequency. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
5.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bylong

increasing

Flood

65/100

Bylong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
increasing

Bushfire

50/100

Bylong has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

40/100

Bylong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Bylong is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bylong

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Bylong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect (minor)

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Bylong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Bylong is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

50/100

Bylong has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider implementing adaptation measures to protect the property.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Bylong River
Elevation Range
300-400m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Bylong River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that the Bylong River has overflowed its banks in the past, impacting low-lying areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by bushland
Planning Overlay
https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/plan-and-prepare/bush-fire-prone-land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The Rural Fire Service has designated areas around Bylong as bushfire-prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The average maximum temperature in January is increasing, leading to more frequent heat stress events.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
200 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused the Bylong River to flood, impacting low-lying areas and disrupting transportation.

Source
2019
bushfireMajor

A severe bushfire impacted areas surrounding Bylong, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in high temperatures and increased demand for emergency services.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred due to heavy rainfall, causing minor disruptions.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.0(+0.5)
bushfire505.2(+0.2)5.4(+0.4)
heat404.5(+0.5)4.8(+0.8)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Bylong is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by more frequent and intense heatwaves and increased flooding.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and creating firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Bylong's Climate Risk Profile

Bylong, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and bushfires due to drier conditions and higher temperatures. These risks are projected to worsen with climate change, potentially leading to more frequent and severe events.

Flooding is a significant concern for properties near waterways. Increased rainfall intensity can overwhelm drainage systems and cause river overflows. Bushfires pose a threat to properties surrounded by bushland, with drier vegetation acting as fuel.

Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. While Bylong is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from coastal erosion and sea-level rise.

Addressing these risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, while adaptation strategies involve preparing for the impacts of climate change. Residents should take proactive steps to protect their properties and ensure their safety during extreme weather events.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW Rural Fire Service · Mid-Western Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Bylong?

Bylong faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Bylong?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flooding and bushfire risks.

What can residents do to prepare for extreme weather events?

Residents can implement adaptation measures, such as improving drainage, clearing vegetation, and developing a heatwave preparedness plan.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Bylong?

You can find more information on the Mid-Western Regional Council website, the NSW Rural Fire Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Is Bylong considered a bushfire-prone area?

Yes, areas around Bylong are designated as bushfire-prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections