Flood Risk in Caffreys Flat, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Caffreys Flat, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
Caffreys Flat faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure.Updated 8 May 2026

Flood Risk Score

6.8/10

Caffreys Flat faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure.

Key Facts

Flood Risk
Caffreys Flat faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Caffreys Flat, NSW
Overall Risk
High
Postcode
2424
Region
Coastal NSW
Median property value
$925,000
Dominant hazard
extreme heat (5/10)
Highest high-risk exposure
13.2% of land (surface flood)

Flood Risk Analysis

Caffreys Flat, located in New South Wales, has a notable flood risk profile based on available data including proximity to waterways, elevation, and historical flood events. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains river height and flood warning data for catchments across New South Wales.

The Manning River poses a flood risk to low-lying areas in Caffreys Flat.

Caffreys Flat faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure.

For a comprehensive property-specific flood assessment including address-level elevation data, flood overlay mapping, and insurance cost estimates, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

Caffreys Flat sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for flood risk. 4.5% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk flood zones and 84.2% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Caffreys Flat.

On ClimateNest's 0–10 suburb hazard index, Caffreys Flat scores 4 for flood risk — a moderate exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Caffreys Flat can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.

Caffreys Flat located in Coastal NSW (postcode 2424), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $925,000, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Caffreys Flat.

Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Caffreys Flat is extreme heat (score 5/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+30% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look — the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.

Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Caffreys Flat, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Caffreys Flat are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.

Local Hazard Evidence

Nearest WaterwayManning River
Elevation Range50-100m
Flood Zone ClassificationModerate

Historical Events

2013
Moderate

Flooding along the Manning River inundated low-lying areas in Caffreys Flat.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Create a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Upgrade Infrastructure

Long-term

Upgrade critical infrastructure to withstand the impacts of climate change, such as extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Council & Emergency Services

MidCoast Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 8 May 2026

Explore Caffreys Flat Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Caffreys Flat at risk of flooding?

Based on available data, Caffreys Flat has a notable flood risk profile. Flood risk varies by address — check your specific property for precise flood zone mapping and elevation data with ClimateNest.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in Caffreys Flat?

Insurance costs for flood cover in Caffreys Flat depend on the property's flood zone classification, elevation, and proximity to waterways. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates based on your property's specific hazard exposure.

Does flood risk affect property values in Caffreys Flat?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in Caffreys Flat. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand, reduced valuations, and higher insurance costs. Lenders increasingly assess flood exposure as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

How does elevation affect flood risk in Caffreys Flat?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within Caffreys Flat typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. Address-level elevation data combined with BOM flood mapping provides the most accurate picture.

What are the main climate risks in Caffreys Flat?

ClimateNest's suburb model rates Caffreys Flat's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 5/10 on a 0–10 index, followed by damaging wind (5/10) and severe storm (5/10). These are suburb-level averages — an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Caffreys Flat.

What share of Caffreys Flat is exposed to high surface flood risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 13.2% of Caffreys Flat in high-risk zones for surface flood, with a further 59.3% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Caffreys Flat Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Caffreys Flat, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections