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Climate Risk in Candelo, New South Wales

Candelo, New South Wales· 2550
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Candelo faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Candelo

increasing

Flood

60/100

Candelo faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Candelo has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

40/100

Candelo experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures expected. Heatwaves may become more frequent and intense, impacting vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Candelo is located inland and does not face a direct coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Candelo

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Candelo experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures expected. Heatwaves may become more frequent and intense, impacting vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect (minimal)

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Candelo faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Candelo is located inland and does not face a direct coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Candelo has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage limitations.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Candelo Creek
Elevation Range
680-720m
Flood Zone
Areas near Candelo Creek are susceptible to flooding.

Historical records indicate several flood events impacting low-lying areas of Candelo.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by bushland
Planning Overlay
https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/plan-and-prepare/bush-fire-prone-land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
27.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

Average January maximum temperature is based on nearby weather station data.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2017
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused Candelo Creek to flood, impacting low-lying areas and disrupting traffic.

Source
2019
bushfireMajor

The Black Summer bushfires impacted the region surrounding Candelo, causing significant damage to property and the environment.

Source
2020
stormModerate

Severe thunderstorms caused flash flooding and wind damage in Candelo and surrounding areas.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Candelo caused road closures and required firefighting efforts.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat404.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Candelo is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with higher risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Rainfall patterns are expected to become more erratic, leading to increased flood risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures will exacerbate bushfire risk. Heatwaves will become more frequent and intense.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood control measures to reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Create a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to reduce water stress during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Candelo's Climate Risk Profile

Candelo, NSW, is a rural community that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding and bushfires, both of which are projected to worsen in the coming decades.

Flooding is a concern due to the proximity of waterways and the potential for increased rainfall intensity. Historical flood events have caused damage to property and infrastructure, and future events could be more severe. Bushfire risk is elevated due to the surrounding bushland, with drier conditions and higher temperatures increasing the likelihood of fires.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. While Candelo is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Adapting to these changes will require a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies. This includes measures to reduce flood risk, improve bushfire preparedness, and mitigate the impacts of heatwaves.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Bega Valley Shire Council

Local Government Resources

Bega Valley Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Candelo?

Candelo faces primarily risks from flooding and bushfires, with increasing heatwave events. These risks are expected to worsen with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Candelo?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding and bushfires. Insurance premiums may also increase.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Candelo?

Clear vegetation around your home, create a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings. Consider installing a sprinkler system and having a water supply readily available.

What should I do during a flood in Candelo?

Move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and stay informed about emergency alerts. Follow the instructions of emergency services personnel.

How can I reduce my carbon footprint in Candelo?

Conserve energy, use public transportation or cycle, reduce waste, and support local businesses. Consider installing solar panels and using energy-efficient appliances.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Candelo, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Candelo →

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections