Bushfire Risk in Carrington, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
3.0/10Bushfire risk in Carrington is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment and limited vegetation. However, surrounding areas with bushland pose a potential threat.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- Bushfire risk in Carrington is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment and limited vegetation. However, surrounding areas with bushland pose a potential threat.
- Trend
- stable
- Suburb
- Carrington, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2294
- Region
- Coastal NSW
- Median property value
- $925,000
- Dominant hazard
- extreme heat (5/10)
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 11.2% of land (bushfire)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
Carrington, New South Wales, has a bushfire risk in carrington is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment and limited vegetation. however, surrounding areas with bushland pose a potential threat. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
While Carrington itself is not heavily vegetated, it is located near bushfire-prone areas. Residents should be aware of the risks and take precautions during the bushfire season.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Carrington, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Carrington including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
Carrington sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 11.2% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 73.6% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Carrington.
On ClimateNest's 0–10 suburb hazard index, Carrington scores 4 for bushfire risk — a moderate exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Carrington can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.
Carrington located in Coastal NSW (postcode 2294), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $925,000, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Carrington.
Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Carrington is extreme heat (score 5/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+30% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look — the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.
Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Carrington, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Carrington are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.
Local Hazard Evidence
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Upgrade flood defenses
Near-termInvest in improved flood defenses, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect low-lying areas from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Improve building resilience to heat
Near-termImplement measures to improve building resilience to heat, such as installing insulation, shading windows, and using cool roofs.
Est. cost: Medium
Protect coastal areas
Long-termImplement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and sea level rise, such as beach nourishment and seawalls.
Est. cost: High
Develop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateDevelop a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during periods of extreme heat.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Carrington Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Carrington:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Carrington in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of Carrington may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Carrington has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in Carrington?
BAL ratings in Carrington depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Carrington?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Carrington may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Carrington?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What are the main climate risks in Carrington?
ClimateNest's suburb model rates Carrington's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 5/10 on a 0–10 index, followed by damaging wind (5/10) and severe storm (5/10). These are suburb-level averages — an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Carrington.
What share of Carrington is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 11.2% of Carrington in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 73.6% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Carrington Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Carrington, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections