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Climate Risk in Collerina, New South Wales

Collerina, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Collerina faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
6.5
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Collerina

increasing

Flood

40/100

Collerina faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local drainage infrastructure may be overwhelmed during intense storms.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

The bushfire risk in Collerina is relatively high due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

65/100

Collerina experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Increased temperatures can pose a threat to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Collerina is not located near the coast and therefore has a very low risk associated with coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Collerina

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

65/100

Collerina experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Increased temperatures can pose a threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Collerina faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local drainage infrastructure may be overwhelmed during intense storms.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Collerina is not located near the coast and therefore has a very low risk associated with coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

The bushfire risk in Collerina is relatively high due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Potential for moderate price impact in the long term.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insulation for heatwaves.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Unnamed Creek
Elevation Range
200-250m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Local drainage capacity is a key factor in flood risk.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Property maintenance is crucial in mitigating bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
300 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not Applicable
Erosion Risk
Not Applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of the region.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Collerina, leading to evacuations and property damage.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2019
droughtModerate

Prolonged drought conditions affected water supplies and agricultural activities in the region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)
heat657.1(+0.6)7.7(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Collerina is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in bushfire and heatwave risks. Flooding risk will also increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties, create a bushfire survival plan, and ensure adequate insurance coverage.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Resilience

Near-term

Install insulation, use energy-efficient appliances, and establish cooling centers for vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in improved drainage systems to mitigate flood risk from heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water-saving measures to address potential water shortages during prolonged droughts.

Est. cost: Low to Medium

Learn more

About Collerina's Climate Risk Profile

Collerina, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns for this suburb are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding.

Bushfire risk is elevated due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions, coupled with strong winds, create a conducive environment for bushfires to ignite and spread rapidly. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Heatwaves are another significant threat, particularly during the summer months. As temperatures rise, vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are at increased risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses. Access to cooling centers and adequate hydration are crucial during these events.

Flooding is a moderate risk, primarily from heavy rainfall events that can overwhelm local drainage infrastructure. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and take steps to protect their properties. While Collerina is not coastal, inland flooding can still pose a significant threat.

Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to more frequent and intense extreme weather events. It is essential for residents to take proactive measures to adapt to these changes and mitigate their impact.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Collerina?

The main climate risks in Collerina are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, creating a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring you have adequate insurance coverage.

What can I do to stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Collerina?

You can find information about flood risks in Collerina on the local council's website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The local council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Check their website for details.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Collerina, use our analysis tool.

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