Climate Risk in Comberton, NSW

Comberton, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Comberton faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Comberton

increasing

Flood

60/100

Comberton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Bushfire risk in Comberton is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase fire intensity.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Comberton is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk during these events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

20/100

Coastal risk is low due to the suburb's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for Comberton.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Comberton

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Comberton is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk during these events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Comberton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Coastal risk is low due to the suburb's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for Comberton.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.0

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Bushfire risk in Comberton is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase fire intensity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation density

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency for heatwave resilience

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and streams
Elevation Range
Varies, some low-lying areas
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near waterways

Local council has implemented some flood mitigation measures, but further upgrades may be needed.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to some bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone area maps
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the region, causing property damage and disruptions.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding region caused smoke haze and elevated fire danger.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased hospital admissions.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred after heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal202.02.0

By 2030, Comberton is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Conduct community education programs and assist residents with property maintenance.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water restrictions and encourage water-efficient landscaping to address drought risks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Comberton's Climate Risk Profile

Comberton, NSW, is exposed to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these hazards.

Flooding is a significant risk due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, could lead to more frequent and severe flood events. Residents should be aware of local flood maps and emergency procedures.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern. Rising temperatures will increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a threat to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Access to cooling centers and adequate hydration are crucial during these events.

Bushfire risk is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Longer fire seasons and increased fire intensity are projected, requiring residents to maintain their properties and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

While coastal risks are relatively low due to Comberton's inland location, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and infrastructure, could still affect the suburb.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · NSW Department of Planning and Environment

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Comberton?

The main climate risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare for flooding in Comberton?

Check local flood maps, have an emergency plan, and consider flood insurance. Keep gutters and drains clear.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

How can I protect my property from bushfires?

Maintain firebreaks, clear flammable materials from around your home, and have a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Comberton?

Consult the local council's website, the NSW government's environment website, and the Bureau of Meteorology for the latest information and resources.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections