Bushfire Risk in Connells Point, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
3.0/10While not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, Connells Point faces some bushfire risk due to nearby vegetation and potential ember attack.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- While not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, Connells Point faces some bushfire risk due to nearby vegetation and potential ember attack.
- Trend
- stable
- Suburb
- Connells Point, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2221
- Region
- Greater Sydney
- Median property value
- $1.6 million
- Dominant hazard
- extreme heat (5/10)
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 16.4% of land (bushfire)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
Connells Point, New South Wales, has a while not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, connells point faces some bushfire risk due to nearby vegetation and potential ember attack. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
While not directly bordering dense bushland, ember attack is a potential risk during bushfire events.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Connells Point, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Connells Point including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
Connells Point sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 16.4% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 56.8% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Connells Point.
On ClimateNest's 0–10 suburb hazard index, Connells Point scores 2 for bushfire risk — a lower exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Connells Point can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.
Connells Point located in Greater Sydney (postcode 2221), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $1.6 million, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Connells Point.
Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Connells Point is extreme heat (score 5/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+20% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look — the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.
Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Connells Point, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Connells Point are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.
Local Hazard Evidence
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in seawalls and drainage improvements to protect properties from rising sea levels and increased rainfall.
Est. cost: High
Implement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop a community-based heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Strengthen Building Codes
Near-termUpdate building codes to require new construction and renovations to be more resilient to flooding, heat, and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: Medium
Coastal Management Strategy
Long-termDevelop and implement a comprehensive coastal management strategy to address erosion and protect coastal assets.
Est. cost: High
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Connells Point Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Connells Point:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Connells Point in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of Connells Point may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Connells Point has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in Connells Point?
BAL ratings in Connells Point depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Connells Point?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Connells Point may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Connells Point?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What are the main climate risks in Connells Point?
ClimateNest's suburb model rates Connells Point's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 5/10 on a 0–10 index, followed by damaging wind (4/10) and severe storm (4/10). These are suburb-level averages — an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Connells Point.
What share of Connells Point is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 16.4% of Connells Point in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 56.8% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Connells Point Safe from Climate Risk?
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Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections