ClimateNest
ClimateNest

Climate Risk Assessment: Coralville, NSW

Coralville, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Coralville, NSW, faces increasing climate risks, particularly from heatwaves and flooding. The suburb's location makes it vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Coralville

increasing

Flood

60/100

Coralville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Bushfire risk in Coralville is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Coralville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Coastal risks are moderate, with potential impacts from sea level rise and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Coralville

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Coralville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Coralville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Coastal risks are moderate, with potential impacts from sea level rise and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Bushfire risk in Coralville is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation density

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review bushfire risk assessments.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local Creek
Elevation Range
5-15 meters
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Historical flood data indicates that some areas of Coralville are prone to inundation during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
2km
Planning Overlay
Some areas are within bushfire prone land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The western edge of Coralville borders bushland, increasing the risk of bushfires during dry periods.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
4 days

The average maximum temperature in January is increasing, leading to more frequent heat stress events.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
10 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the region, causing property damage and road closures.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Bushfire near Coralville required emergency response.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions affected Coralville and surrounding areas.

Source
2020
stormModerate

Severe storm caused flash flooding and power outages in Coralville.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.6(+0.6)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal505.2(+0.2)5.5(+0.5)

By 2030, Coralville is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve building resilience to heatwaves

Immediate

Implement building codes that require better insulation and passive cooling strategies to reduce the impact of heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance flood management infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and build flood barriers to protect properties from inundation during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Create more green spaces

Near-term

Increase the amount of green space in Coralville to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a community emergency plan

Immediate

Create a comprehensive emergency plan that outlines procedures for responding to climate-related disasters, such as heatwaves, floods, and bushfires.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Coralville's Climate Risk Profile

Coralville is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased flooding due to heavier rainfall, and potential coastal erosion. These risks are projected to worsen over the coming decades, impacting the community and local infrastructure.

Heatwaves pose a significant threat, especially to elderly and vulnerable residents. The urban environment can exacerbate the heat island effect, leading to higher temperatures compared to surrounding areas. Flooding is another major concern, with potential for property damage and disruption to daily life. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, making floods more frequent and severe.

Coastal erosion is a growing concern, particularly in areas close to the coastline. Sea level rise and storm surges can lead to loss of land and damage to coastal properties. Addressing these challenges requires a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses.

Adaptation measures are crucial to protect Coralville from the worst impacts of climate change. These include improving building design to withstand extreme weather events, enhancing green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect, and implementing better flood management strategies. Community awareness and preparedness are also essential to ensure residents are informed and ready to respond to climate-related emergencies.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

Example Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Coralville?

The main climate change risks for Coralville include more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased flooding due to heavier rainfall, and potential coastal erosion.

How will climate change affect property values in Coralville?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is developing and implementing a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

How can I prepare my home for heatwaves?

You can prepare your home for heatwaves by improving insulation, installing air conditioning or fans, and creating shade around your property.

What should I do during a flood?

During a flood, you should move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Coralville, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Coralville →

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Coralville's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data
Get Your flood Risk Report — A$69

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections