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Climate Risk Assessment for Corobimilla, NSW

Corobimilla, New South Wales· 2700
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Corobimilla faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate and also projected to increase. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Corobimilla

increasing

Flood

65/100

Corobimilla faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Corobimilla is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during summer. Climate change may lead to longer fire seasons and increased fire intensity.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Corobimilla is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Corobimilla is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Corobimilla

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Corobimilla is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Corobimilla faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Corobimilla is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Corobimilla is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during summer. Climate change may lead to longer fire seasons and increased fire intensity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation density

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to reduce cooling costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Murrumbidgee River
Elevation Range
130-140m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Historical flood data indicates periodic inundation of low-lying areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 5km
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is classified as bushfire prone due to surrounding grasslands and forested areas.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The region experiences several days above 35°C during summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
450 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not Applicable
Erosion Risk
Not Applicable

Historical Climate Events

2012
floodModerate

Significant flooding along the Murrumbidgee River affected low-lying areas in and around Corobimilla.

Source
2017
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the region caused property damage and required evacuations.

Source
2019
heatwaveMajor

Record-breaking temperatures during the summer heatwave led to heat stress and health concerns.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding and road closures.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire424.5(+0.3)4.9(+0.7)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Corobimilla is projected to experience increased flooding and more frequent heatwaves. Bushfire risk will also rise slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plans

Immediate

Develop and implement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and fire breaks, to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Corobimilla's Climate Risk Profile

Corobimilla, NSW, is a region that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the area's proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity can overwhelm existing drainage systems, leading to property damage and disruption of services. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.

Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing health risks, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. It is important to have strategies in place to cope with extreme heat, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, particularly during the dry summer months. Changes in vegetation and increased temperatures can create conditions conducive to bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and stay informed about fire warnings.

While Corobimilla is not directly impacted by coastal risks, the broader effects of climate change will still be felt. Taking proactive measures to adapt to these changes is essential for ensuring the long-term resilience and sustainability of the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Corobimilla?

The main climate change risks in Corobimilla are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Corobimilla?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also likely.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Corobimilla?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What bushfire mitigation measures should I take?

Maintain your property to reduce fire hazards, clear vegetation around your home, and stay informed about fire warnings.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Corobimilla?

You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the NSW Government website.

Get your property's risk report

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