Climate Risk Profile: Currans Hill, NSW

Currans Hill, New South Wales· Camden· 2567
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Currans Hill faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly heatwaves and flooding, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Currans Hill

increasing

Flood

65/100

Currans Hill faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

42/100

Currans Hill has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Currans Hill is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Currans Hill is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Currans Hill

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Currans Hill is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Currans Hill faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Currans Hill is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Currans Hill has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate change impacts on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Narellan Creek
Elevation Range
60-90m
Flood Zone
Areas near Narellan Creek are susceptible to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that properties near the creek have been affected in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Some areas are within bushfire prone land.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check RFS website for specific property risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Western Sydney experiences higher temperatures than coastal areas.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding in the Camden area affected low-lying properties near the Nepean River.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Bushfire near Camden, resulting in some property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of Camden, impacting local roads and businesses.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions across NSW, with record temperatures recorded in Western Sydney.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire424.3(+0.1)4.4(+0.2)
heat707.6(+0.6)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Currans Hill is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a moderate increase in flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk is expected to remain relatively stable.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Establish a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Create Green Spaces and Urban Cooling

Near-term

Increase tree canopy cover and create parks to reduce the urban heat island effect.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Planning

Immediate

Develop and implement bushfire preparedness plans for individual properties and the community.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-saving measures to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Currans Hill's Climate Risk Profile

Currans Hill, located in the Camden region of New South Wales, is subject to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and heatwaves resulting from rising temperatures. Bushfire risk is also a factor due to the presence of surrounding bushland.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for flash flooding during heavy rainfall events. The increasing intensity of rainfall, driven by climate change, is expected to worsen this risk. Proactive measures such as improved drainage infrastructure and flood-resistant building designs are essential.

Heatwaves pose a threat to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas. Strategies to mitigate heat risks include increasing green spaces, promoting energy-efficient building designs, and establishing heatwave early warning systems.

Bushfire risk is present due to the proximity of bushland. Maintaining vegetation buffer zones and implementing bushfire preparedness plans are crucial for minimizing the potential impact of bushfires. Community awareness and education are also important components of bushfire risk management.

Overall, Currans Hill needs to focus on adaptation strategies to address the increasing risks associated with climate change. These strategies should include measures to mitigate flooding, reduce heatwave impacts, and manage bushfire risk effectively.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Camden Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Currans Hill?

The main risks are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall, more frequent and severe heatwaves, and the potential for bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Currans Hill?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions, while increased heatwave frequency could affect the desirability of properties without adequate cooling.

What is Camden Council doing to address climate change?

Camden Council has a sustainability strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve energy efficiency, and enhance community resilience to climate change impacts.

How can I prepare my home for a heatwave in Currans Hill?

Install air conditioning or fans, ensure adequate insulation, stay hydrated, and avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

What should I do to prepare for a bushfire in Currans Hill?

Clear vegetation around your home, have a bushfire survival plan, and monitor the NSW Rural Fire Service website for alerts and warnings.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Currans Hill?

You can find flood maps and information on the Camden Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Currans Hill, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Currans Hill's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections