Climate Risk Assessment for Daceyville, NSW

Daceyville, New South Wales· 2032

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Daceyville faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to flooding and heatwaves. While bushfire and coastal risks are relatively low, the suburb should prepare for increasing temperatures and more intense rainfall events. Adaptation measures are recommended to mitigate these impacts.

Overall Risk Score

55/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.0

Bushfire

3.0

Heat

7.0

Coastal

2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Daceyville

increasing

Flood

60/100

Daceyville faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Urban development

stable

Bushfire

30/100

The bushfire risk in Daceyville is relatively low due to its urban setting and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.

Key drivers:

·Proximity to green spaces
·Wind patterns

increasing

Heat

70/100

Daceyville is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effects can exacerbate the impact of extreme heat.

Key drivers:

·Rising global temperatures
·Urban heat island effect

stable

Coastal

20/100

Daceyville is located inland and has a low risk of direct coastal hazards such as sea-level rise and coastal erosion. However, extreme weather events could indirectly affect the suburb.

Key drivers:

·Sea level rise
·Storm surge

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Daceyville

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Daceyville is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effects can exacerbate the impact of extreme heat.

Primary Drivers

·Rising global temperatures
·Urban heat island effect
·Reduced green cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Daceyville faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Urban development
·Aging infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Daceyville is located inland and has a low risk of direct coastal hazards such as sea-level rise and coastal erosion. However, extreme weather events could indirectly affect the suburb.

Primary Drivers

·Sea level rise
·Storm surge
·Erosion rates

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.1

2050

2.2

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

The bushfire risk in Daceyville is relatively low due to its urban setting and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.

Primary Drivers

·Proximity to green spaces
·Wind patterns
·Fuel load in surrounding areas

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Potential for minor price adjustments due to climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood history of the property.
2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Botany Bay
Elevation Range: 10-30 meters
Flood Zone: Low to Moderate

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: 2-5 km
Planning Overlay: Some areas may have bushfire buffer zones.
Bushfire Prone Area: No

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 3 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 3 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Low
Erosion Risk: Negligible

Historical Climate Events

2022

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in parts of Daceyville, disrupting traffic and affecting some properties.

Source

2020

heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January resulted in increased demand for electricity and put strain on vulnerable residents.

Source

2015

stormMinor

A severe storm brought strong winds and heavy rain, causing minor damage to trees and power lines.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	60	6.5(+0.5)	7.0(+1.0)
bushfire	30	3.2(+0.2)	3.5(+0.5)
heat	70	7.8(+0.8)	8.5(+1.5)
coastal	20	2.1(+0.1)	2.2(+0.2)

By 2030, Daceyville is projected to experience a noticeable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a higher risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will slightly increase. Coastal risks remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading and expanding the suburb's drainage infrastructure to better manage increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Increase Green Spaces

Near-term

Plant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Immediate

Implement programs to educate residents about climate risks and how to prepare for extreme weather events, including heatwaves and floods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Emergency Response Plans

Near-term

Create comprehensive emergency response plans to address potential climate-related disasters, including evacuation procedures and support for vulnerable residents.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Daceyville's Climate Risk Profile

Daceyville, NSW, is an established suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are related to flooding from intense rainfall and the increasing frequency and severity of heatwaves. While the risk of bushfire is lower compared to other areas, it is still a factor to consider, especially with changing weather patterns.

The suburb's infrastructure may struggle to cope with more frequent and intense rainfall events, leading to localized flooding and disruptions. The urban environment also contributes to the urban heat island effect, exacerbating the impact of heatwaves on residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Climate projections indicate that Daceyville will experience higher average temperatures and more extreme heat days in the coming decades. Rainfall patterns are also expected to change, with more intense downpours and longer periods of drought. These changes will place additional stress on the suburb's infrastructure and resources.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect, and implementing community awareness programs to prepare residents for extreme weather events. Planning for future climate scenarios is crucial to ensure the long-term sustainability and resilience of Daceyville.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Randwick City Council

Local Government Resources

Randwick City Council

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Daceyville?

The primary risks are increased heatwaves and flooding due to more intense rainfall. Bushfire risk is lower but still a concern.

How will climate change affect property values in Daceyville?

There may be minor price adjustments due to increased flood risk and heatwave vulnerability. Properties with better adaptation measures may be more resilient.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Daceyville?

Randwick City Council is implementing various strategies, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing green spaces, and developing emergency response plans.

How can I prepare my home for heatwaves in Daceyville?

Install insulation, use fans and air conditioning, plant trees for shade, and stay hydrated during hot weather.

What should I do during a flood in Daceyville?

Stay informed about weather warnings, move valuables to higher ground, and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Follow instructions from emergency services.

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2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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