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Climate Risk Assessment for Dobies Bight, NSW

Dobies Bight, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Dobies Bight faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Dobies Bight

increasing

Flood

60/100

Dobies Bight faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The bushfire risk in Dobies Bight is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Dobies Bight is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Located near the coast, Dobies Bight is exposed to coastal erosion and inundation risks. Sea level rise is expected to worsen these risks over time.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Dobies Bight

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Dobies Bight is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Dobies Bight faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Located near the coast, Dobies Bight is exposed to coastal erosion and inundation risks. Sea level rise is expected to worsen these risks over time.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The bushfire risk in Dobies Bight is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on coastal properties.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local River
Elevation Range
0-10 meters
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Historical flood data indicates that some areas of Dobies Bight have experienced flooding in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland
Planning Overlay
Bushfire prone area overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The local council has designated certain areas of Dobies Bight as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The average number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the coming years.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
2 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas exposed to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Moderate erosion risk

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted low-lying areas of the region, causing property damage and displacement.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires threatened the region, leading to evacuations and property damage.

Source
2017
stormMinor

Severe storms caused flash flooding and power outages in the region.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal505.4(+0.4)5.8(+0.8)

By 2030, Dobies Bight is projected to experience a notable increase in overall climate risk, with significant impacts from heatwaves and flooding. Bushfire risk will also increase, requiring enhanced preparedness measures.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against erosion and inundation.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Green Spaces

Near-term

Increase the amount of green space in the suburb to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve air quality.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Dobies Bight's Climate Risk Profile

Dobies Bight, located in New South Wales, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related challenges. The primary concerns include increased flooding due to more intense rainfall and rising sea levels, as well as the growing threat of heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a factor, influenced by surrounding vegetation and drier conditions.

The suburb's proximity to waterways and the coast makes it particularly vulnerable to flooding and coastal erosion. Climate change projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades, potentially leading to property damage and displacement.

Heatwaves are another significant concern, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate these risks, making it essential to implement adaptation measures to mitigate the impacts of extreme heat.

Addressing these climate challenges requires a coordinated effort involving local government, residents, and other stakeholders. Implementing adaptation strategies such as improving drainage infrastructure, promoting green spaces, and developing emergency response plans is crucial to building resilience and protecting the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · NSW Department of Planning and Environment

Local Government Resources

Local Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Dobies Bight?

The main climate risks include increased flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to worsen due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Dobies Bight?

Increased climate risks may negatively impact property values, particularly for properties located in flood-prone or coastal areas.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, such as improving drainage infrastructure and promoting green spaces.

How can residents prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can prepare by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

What should I do if my property is located in a flood-prone area?

You should consider purchasing flood insurance, developing a flood emergency plan, and taking steps to protect your property from flood damage.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Dobies Bight, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Dobies Bight →

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$300B+
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30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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