Climate Risk Profile: Drake, NSW
Drake faces increasing risks from floods, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland and waterways contributes to these vulnerabilities. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Drake
Flood
Drake is located near waterways and experiences moderate rainfall, increasing its flood risk. Climate change is expected to intensify rainfall events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
Bushfire
Drake has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to worsen this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry climate
Heat
Drake experiences moderately high temperatures during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Increasing global temperatures
Coastal
Drake is not located near the coast, therefore the coastal risk is negligible.
Wind
Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail
Social
Moderate social stability — mixed urban density
Energy
Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Drake
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Drake experiences moderately high temperatures during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Increasing global temperatures
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
5.5
2050
6.0
flood Risk
Drake is located near waterways and experiences moderate rainfall, increasing its flood risk. Climate change is expected to intensify rainfall events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.5
coastal Risk
Drake is not located near the coast, therefore the coastal risk is negligible.
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
0.0
2050
0.0
bushfire Risk
Drake has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to worsen this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry climate
- ·High temperatures
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of floods and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood and bushfire risk maps.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather.
- 3.Review insurance options and costs.
- 4.Consider long-term climate projections.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Timbarra River
- Elevation Range
- 300-400m
- Flood Zone
- Moderate
The Timbarra River can experience rapid rises in water levels during heavy rainfall events.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent
- Planning Overlay
- RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
The area is designated as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 31°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Elderly and vulnerable residents are particularly at risk during heatwave events.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 150 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not Applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not Applicable
Historical Climate Events
Climate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 65 | 6.8(+0.3) | 7.2(+0.7) |
| bushfire | 70 | 7.4(+0.4) | 7.8(+0.8) |
| heat | 50 | 5.2(+0.2) | 5.5(+0.5) |
| coastal | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
By 2030, Drake is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and bushfire risks due to more extreme weather events.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Develop a community emergency plan
ImmediateCreate a plan that outlines evacuation routes, emergency contacts, and procedures for different types of disasters.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove building resilience
Near-termRetrofit homes with fire-resistant materials, install rainwater tanks, and elevate structures in flood-prone areas.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance early warning systems
ImmediateImplement a system to provide timely alerts about impending floods, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreRestore and protect natural ecosystems
Long-termRehabilitate riparian zones to reduce flood risk and manage vegetation to minimize bushfire hazards.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Drake's Climate Risk Profile
Drake is a rural locality in New South Wales, characterized by its natural beauty and proximity to bushland and waterways. This environment, while appealing, also presents significant climate-related challenges.
The primary risks facing Drake are floods, bushfires, and heatwaves. Increased rainfall intensity and proximity to waterways elevate the flood risk. The surrounding bushland, combined with drier conditions, makes the area highly susceptible to bushfires. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a threat to public health and infrastructure.
Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks. Projections indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. This will require proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.
Residents and property owners should take steps to mitigate these risks, including preparing emergency plans, maintaining properties to reduce fire hazards, and staying informed about weather warnings. Community-level initiatives and government support are also crucial for building resilience to climate change.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES
Local Government Resources
UNKNOWN
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Drake?
The main climate risks in Drake are floods, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
You can prepare your home by clearing vegetation around the property, installing fire-resistant materials, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a flood?
During a flood, you should move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Drake?
You can find more information on the CSIRO website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the NSW government's climate change website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Drake, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Drake's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections