Climate Risk Profile for Dungay, NSW

Dungay, New South Wales

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Dungay faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

58/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.5

Bushfire

7.0

Heat

4.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Dungay

increasing

Flood

65/100

Dungay is located near waterways and has some low-lying areas, making it susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could worsen flood events.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Proximity to waterways

increasing

Bushfire

70/100

The area surrounding Dungay has significant bushland, increasing the risk of bushfires, especially during dry periods. Climate change is expected to lengthen the fire season and increase fire intensity.

Key drivers:

·Proximity to bushland
·Increased temperatures

increasing

Heat

40/100

Dungay experiences moderate heat, with potential for heatwaves during summer. Rising temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

·Rising temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

stable

Coastal

10/100

Dungay is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Dungay

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Dungay experiences moderate heat, with potential for heatwaves during summer. Rising temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

·Rising temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Dungay is located near waterways and has some low-lying areas, making it susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could worsen flood events.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Proximity to waterways
·Low-lying areas

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Dungay is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Primary Drivers

·Proximity to bushland
·Increased temperatures
·Drier conditions

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
5.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Tweed River
Elevation Range: 50-100m
Flood Zone: Some areas near the Tweed River are designated as flood zones.

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent to Border Ranges National Park
Planning Overlay: NSW Rural Fire Service Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 2 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2022

floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the Tweed River catchment, impacting Dungay and surrounding areas.

Source

2019

bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Dungay, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source

2017

stormMinor

Severe storms caused localized flooding and power outages in Dungay.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	65	7.0(+0.5)	7.5(+1.0)
bushfire	70	7.5(+0.5)	8.0(+1.0)
heat	40	4.5(+0.5)	5.0(+1.0)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Dungay is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with flooding and bushfire risks increasing due to more intense rainfall and drier conditions.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct levees and improve drainage systems to mitigate flood risks.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement vegetation management programs and community education initiatives to reduce bushfire risks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Resilience Programs

Long-term

Establish community-based programs to enhance resilience to climate change impacts.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Dungay's Climate Risk Profile

Dungay, located in New South Wales, is subject to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns for this area are flooding and bushfires, driven by changing weather patterns and increased temperatures.

Flooding is a significant risk due to the proximity of waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity, a consequence of climate change, is expected to worsen flood events, potentially impacting residential and agricultural areas. Residents should stay informed about flood warnings and preparedness measures.

Bushfire risk is also high due to the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to lengthen the fire season and increase the intensity of bushfires. Property owners should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves pose a moderate threat, with rising temperatures increasing the frequency and intensity of heat events. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are particularly at risk. Taking precautions during heatwaves is essential.

While Dungay is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, could still affect the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW Rural Fire Service · NSW State Emergency Service · Tweed Shire Council

Local Government Resources

Tweed Shire Council

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Dungay?

The main climate risks in Dungay are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a flood?

During a flood, you should stay informed about flood warnings, move to higher ground, and avoid driving through floodwaters.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, stay in air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Dungay?

You can find more information about climate change impacts in Dungay on the Tweed Shire Council website and the NSW Government's climate change website.

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30-120%

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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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