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Climate Risk Profile: Elland, NSW

Elland, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Elland faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the intensity of floods and the frequency of heatwaves. Residents should prepare for these changes.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
0.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Elland

increasing

Flood

65/100

Elland faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Elland has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

60/100

Elland is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

5/100

Elland is not located near the coast and has a negligible risk from coastal hazards.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Elland

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Elland is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Elland faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

5/100

Elland is not located near the coast and has a negligible risk from coastal hazards.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

0.5

2050

0.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Elland has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and property protection measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for heatwaves.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Unnamed Creek
Elevation Range
50-70m
Flood Zone
Partially within a 100-year flood zone

Local drainage infrastructure may be inadequate to handle increased rainfall intensity.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
500m
Planning Overlay
Some areas are within a bushfire prone area overlay.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check RFS guidelines for property maintenance in bushfire prone areas.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Consider installing reflective roofing and increasing vegetation around properties.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the region, causing property damage and road closures.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding region caused smoke haze and increased fire danger.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased hospital admissions.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred after heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.7(+1.2)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat606.4(+0.4)7.0(+1.0)
coastal50.50.5

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Elland is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased flood and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Develop a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Risk Reduction

Near-term

Implement vegetation management and property protection measures to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Elland's Climate Risk Profile

Elland is a suburb in New South Wales that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfire risk. Due to its location and topography, Elland is susceptible to flooding, which is expected to worsen with increased rainfall intensity driven by climate change.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Elland. As temperatures rise, the suburb will likely experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. The urban environment can exacerbate these effects, creating an urban heat island.

Bushfire risk is also present in Elland, particularly in areas close to vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions increase the likelihood of bushfires, threatening properties and lives. Residents need to be aware of bushfire safety measures and maintain their properties accordingly.

While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, the community should still be aware of broader climate trends and take steps to adapt to the changing environment. This includes investing in flood mitigation measures, improving building resilience to heat, and implementing bushfire safety strategies.

Overall, Elland needs to proactively address these climate risks to ensure the safety and well-being of its residents and the sustainability of the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Elland?

Elland faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of these events.

How will climate change affect property values in Elland?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also likely.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and elevating appliances.

How can I prepare for a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What should I do during a bushfire?

Follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and have a bushfire survival plan.

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