๐Ÿ“ฎ Erskineville postcode: 2043

Bushfire Risk in Erskineville, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Erskineville, New South Walesยท City of Sydneyยท 2043
Erskineville has a low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited vegetation. The primary risk would stem from embers carried by wind from more distant bushfire events.Updated 4 Apr 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

2.0/10

Erskineville has a low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited vegetation. The primary risk would stem from embers carried by wind from more distant bushfire events.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
Erskineville has a low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited vegetation. The primary risk would stem from embers carried by wind from more distant bushfire events.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Erskineville, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2043
Region
Greater Sydney
Median property value
$1.6 million
Dominant hazard
extreme heat (5/10)
Highest high-risk exposure
9.6% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Erskineville, New South Wales, has a erskineville has a low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited vegetation. the primary risk would stem from embers carried by wind from more distant bushfire events. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Erskineville is not designated as a bushfire prone area due to its high-density urban development.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Erskineville, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Erskineville including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Erskineville sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 9.6% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 74.6% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Erskineville.

On ClimateNest's 0โ€“10 suburb hazard index, Erskineville scores 2 for bushfire risk โ€” a lower exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Erskineville can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.

Erskineville located in Greater Sydney (postcode 2043), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $1.6 million, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Erskineville.

Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Erskineville is extreme heat (score 5/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+20% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look โ€” the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.

Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Erskineville, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Erskineville are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland>5km
BAL Overlay / ZoneNot applicable
Bushfire Prone AreaNo

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Increase Green Space

Near-term

Plant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Upgrade Stormwater Infrastructure

Immediate

Improve stormwater drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

City of Sydney
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 4 April 2026

Explore Erskineville Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Erskineville in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Erskineville may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Erskineville has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Erskineville?

BAL ratings in Erskineville depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Erskineville?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Erskineville may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Erskineville?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What are the main climate risks in Erskineville?

ClimateNest's suburb model rates Erskineville's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 5/10 on a 0โ€“10 index, followed by damaging wind (4/10) and severe storm (4/10). These are suburb-level averages โ€” an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Erskineville.

What share of Erskineville is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 9.6% of Erskineville in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 74.6% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform โ€” individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Erskineville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Erskineville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 ยท Australian addresses only ยท 8 hazard scores ยท Insurance trajectory ยท 2030 & 2050 projections