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Climate Risk Assessment: Fishermans Paradise, NSW

Fishermans Paradise, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Fishermans Paradise faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to heatwaves and flooding. Sea level rise and bushfire risk also contribute to the overall vulnerability of the suburb. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Fishermans Paradise

increasing

Flood

60/100

Fishermans Paradise is located near waterways and low-lying areas, making it susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risks.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The area has some bushland nearby, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Fishermans Paradise is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Located near the coast, Fishermans Paradise faces risks from sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors can impact infrastructure and property values.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Fishermans Paradise

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Fishermans Paradise is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Fishermans Paradise is located near waterways and low-lying areas, making it susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risks.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Located near the coast, Fishermans Paradise faces risks from sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors can impact infrastructure and property values.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area has some bushland nearby, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding, bushfires, and coastal erosion.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.
  • 5.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency and cooling options.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Clyde River
Elevation Range
0-10 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal floodplain

Low-lying areas near the Clyde River are particularly vulnerable to flooding during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 1km
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The western edge of Fishermans Paradise borders bushland, increasing the risk of bushfire spread.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Average maximum temperatures in January are expected to increase, leading to more frequent heat stress events.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding along the Clyde River affected low-lying areas of Fishermans Paradise.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near the suburb caused property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
stormModerate

Severe storms caused damage to homes and infrastructure in Fishermans Paradise.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Record-breaking temperatures during a heatwave led to health concerns and power outages.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
heat707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
coastal505.5(+0.5)6.0(+1.0)

By 2030, Fishermans Paradise is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, flooding, bushfires, and coastal erosion.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Near-term

Clear vegetation around properties and develop bushfire evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plans

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage water-saving practices to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Fishermans Paradise's Climate Risk Profile

Fishermans Paradise, NSW, is a coastal community that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased flooding due to heavier rainfall and sea level rise, and a heightened risk of bushfires.

The suburb's proximity to the coast makes it susceptible to rising sea levels, which can lead to coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas. Changes in rainfall patterns are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding events, potentially impacting homes and infrastructure.

Rising temperatures and drier conditions are likely to exacerbate the risk of bushfires in the surrounding areas. Heatwaves will become more common and severe, posing health risks to residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.

Addressing these challenges will require a combination of adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management strategies, and developing heatwave response plans. Mitigation efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are also crucial to limit the long-term impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · SES NSW · RFS NSW · NSW Environment

Local Government Resources

Eurobodalla Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Fishermans Paradise?

The main risks include increased heatwaves, flooding, bushfires, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

How will climate change affect property values in Fishermans Paradise?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent.

What can I do to protect my home from bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your property, install fire-resistant materials, and develop a bushfire evacuation plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned spaces, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The Eurobodalla Shire Council is implementing various strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure and promoting sustainable practices.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Fishermans Paradise?

You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the Eurobodalla Shire Council website.

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