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Climate Risk in Glen Davis, NSW

Glen Davis, New South Wales
High Risk
Updated May 2026

Glen Davis faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding also poses a moderate threat. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Overall Risk Score

72/100
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Glen Davis

increasing

Flood

65/100

Glen Davis faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from local creeks and heavy rainfall events. The risk is projected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in catchment hydrology
increasing

Bushfire

80/100

Glen Davis is located in a region with a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

70/100

Glen Davis is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Glen Davis is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

40/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

55/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

30/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

50/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Glen Davis

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Glen Davis is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Glen Davis faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from local creeks and heavy rainfall events. The risk is projected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in catchment hydrology

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Glen Davis is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

80/100

Glen Davis is located in a region with a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·More frequent extreme weather events

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high bushfire and flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire and flood risk maps.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Capertee River
Elevation Range
600-700m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Capertee River are susceptible to flooding.

Historical records indicate past flooding events in the region following heavy rainfall.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Wollemi National Park
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area has a history of bushfires, with several major events in recent decades.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireMajor

The 2019-2020 bushfires significantly impacted the region, with widespread damage to property and the environment.

Source
2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas, disrupting transport and damaging infrastructure.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires threatened the town, requiring residents to evacuate.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health concerns for vulnerable residents.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.0(+0.5)
bushfire808.6(+0.6)9.0(+1.0)
heat707.4(+0.4)7.8(+0.8)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Glen Davis is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing most significantly. Heatwaves will become more frequent and intense, and flooding risk will also increase.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan

Immediate

Create a detailed plan for protecting your property and family in the event of a bushfire. This should include clearing vegetation, preparing a bushfire survival kit, and knowing evacuation routes.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve Home Cooling

Near-term

Install air conditioning or fans to help keep your home cool during heatwaves. Consider energy-efficient options to reduce electricity consumption.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

If your property is located in a flood-prone area, consider installing flood barriers or raising the foundation to reduce the risk of damage.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Plant Drought-Tolerant Vegetation

Long-term

Replace water-intensive plants with drought-tolerant species to conserve water and reduce the risk of vegetation drying out and increasing bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Glen Davis's Climate Risk Profile

Glen Davis, NSW, is a rural community that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The surrounding bushland creates a high bushfire risk, which is expected to worsen with drier conditions and higher temperatures.

Heatwaves are also projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations. Flooding from local creeks and heavy rainfall events is another concern, with the risk expected to increase due to climate change.

While Glen Davis is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from sea level rise and coastal erosion. It is crucial for residents to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.

Understanding these risks and implementing appropriate adaptation strategies is essential for ensuring the long-term resilience of Glen Davis. This includes preparing for extreme weather events, protecting property from bushfires, and mitigating the impacts of heatwaves.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Glen Davis?

The main climate change risks in Glen Davis are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for a bushfire?

You can prepare your property for a bushfire by clearing vegetation, preparing a bushfire survival kit, and knowing evacuation routes. The NSW RFS website provides detailed information on bushfire preparedness.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay cool, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members. If you experience heat stress, seek medical attention.

How can I reduce my risk of flooding?

If your property is located in a flood-prone area, consider installing flood barriers or raising the foundation to reduce the risk of damage. Keep drains and gutters clear of debris.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Glen Davis?

You can find more information about climate change in Glen Davis from the Bureau of Meteorology, CSIRO, and the NSW government.

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$300B+
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30-120%
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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