Climate Risk in Gobbagombalin, New South Wales

Gobbagombalin, New South Wales· City of Wagga Wagga· 2650

Medium Risk

Updated May 2026

Gobbagombalin faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.5

Bushfire

4.0

Heat

6.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gobbagombalin

increasing

Flood

65/100

Gobbagombalin is located near the Murrumbidgee River and is susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could worsen flood events.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·River proximity

increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The area has some bushland nearby, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

·Drier conditions
·Increased temperatures

increasing

Heat

60/100

Gobbagombalin is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This could pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

·Increased temperatures
·Urban heat island effect

stable

Coastal

10/100

Gobbagombalin is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gobbagombalin

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Gobbagombalin is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This could pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

·Increased temperatures
·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Gobbagombalin is located near the Murrumbidgee River and is susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could worsen flood events.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·River proximity
·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Gobbagombalin is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area has some bushland nearby, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

·Drier conditions
·Increased temperatures
·Vegetation density

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may see a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps
2.Assess bushfire risk
3.Consider energy efficiency
4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Murrumbidgee River
Elevation Range: 150-160m
Flood Zone: Likely

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Within 2km
Planning Overlay: RFS Map
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 5 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 400 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: None
Erosion Risk: None

Historical Climate Events

2012

floodModerate

Significant flooding along the Murrumbidgee River affected parts of Gobbagombalin.

Source

2019

bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the region caused smoky conditions and some property damage.

Source

2017

heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions put strain on local infrastructure and health services.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	65	7.0(+0.5)	7.5(+1.0)
bushfire	40	4.3(+0.3)	4.5(+0.5)
heat	60	6.7(+0.7)	7.2(+1.2)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Gobbagombalin is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, as well as an increased risk of flooding. Bushfire risk will also be elevated.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in levees and drainage systems to mitigate flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Clear vegetation around properties and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Infrastructure

Long-term

Ensure infrastructure is resilient to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Gobbagombalin's Climate Risk Profile

Gobbagombalin, located near Wagga Wagga, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to the Murrumbidgee River makes it susceptible to flooding, which is expected to worsen with increased rainfall intensity.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect may exacerbate these impacts.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, as drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of fires in the surrounding bushland. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place.

While coastal hazards are not a direct threat, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect Gobbagombalin. It is crucial for the community to adapt to these changes and build resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · City of Wagga Wagga

Local Government Resources

City of Wagga Wagga

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Gobbagombalin?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How can I prepare for a flood in Gobbagombalin?

Stay informed about flood warnings, have an evacuation plan, and protect your property with sandbags.

What should I do during a heatwave in Gobbagombalin?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I protect my home from bushfires in Gobbagombalin?

Clear vegetation around your property, have a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Gobbagombalin?

Consult the City of Wagga Wagga's website, the NSW government's climate change resources, and the CSIRO's climate projections.

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