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Climate Risk in Growee, New South Wales

Growee, New South Wales
High Risk
Updated May 2026

Growee faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Overall Risk Score

72/100
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Growee

increasing

Flood

65/100

Growee faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
increasing

Bushfire

80/100

Growee has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Surrounding bushland
  • ·Hotter, drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Growee is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

20/100

Growee is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast
stable

Wind

40/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

55/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

30/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

50/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Growee

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Growee is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Growee faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Growee is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.0

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

80/100

Growee has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Surrounding bushland
  • ·Hotter, drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increased risk of bushfires and flooding.

Price Impact

Climate change may negatively impact property values in the long term.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check for flood risk
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heatwave resilience
  • 4.Review insurance coverage

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Capertee River
Elevation Range
300-350m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Historical flood data indicates infrequent but potentially significant flooding events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
RFS Bushfire Prone Land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area has a history of bushfires, with several major events in recent decades.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable residents.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not Applicable
Erosion Risk
Not Applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireMajor

The 2019-2020 bushfires had a significant impact on the region, with widespread property damage and loss of life.

Source
2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas, disrupting transport and damaging property.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave led to increased hospital admissions and placed strain on infrastructure.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of the region, leading to road closures and property damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.0(+0.5)
bushfire808.7(+0.7)9.0(+1.0)
heat707.5(+0.5)7.8(+0.8)
coastal202.02.0

By 2030, Growee is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing most significantly. Heatwaves will become more frequent and intense, and flooding risk will also increase.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around homes, develop a bushfire survival plan, and install a sprinkler system.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Reduce Urban Heat Island Effect

Near-term

Plant trees, install cool roofs, and use light-colored paving materials.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Manage Flood Risk

Near-term

Install flood barriers, improve drainage, and avoid building in flood-prone areas.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Plan

Immediate

Identify vulnerable residents, establish cooling centers, and provide information on how to stay safe during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Growee's Climate Risk Profile

Growee is a suburb in New South Wales that is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The surrounding bushland increases the risk of bushfires, while rising temperatures are expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Flooding is also a concern due to the proximity of waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk. Residents should be aware of the risks and take steps to prepare for extreme weather events.

The local council is working to address climate change and reduce the risks to the community. This includes measures to improve bushfire preparedness, reduce the urban heat island effect, and manage flood risk.

Homeowners should consider the potential impacts of climate change when making decisions about their property. This includes factors such as insurance costs, resale value, and the need for adaptation measures.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Lithgow City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Growee?

The main climate risks in Growee are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare for bushfires in Growee?

You can prepare for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, developing a bushfire survival plan, and installing a sprinkler system.

How can I stay safe during heatwaves in Growee?

You can stay safe during heatwaves by staying indoors, drinking plenty of water, and avoiding strenuous activity.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Growee?

The council is working to address climate change by improving bushfire preparedness, reducing the urban heat island effect, and managing flood risk.

Will climate change affect property values in Growee?

Climate change may negatively impact property values in the long term due to the increased risk of extreme weather events.

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