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Climate Risk in Gurranang, New South Wales

Gurranang, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Gurranang faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb's inland location mitigates coastal risks.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gurranang

increasing

Flood

40/100

Gurranang faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Gurranang has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

50/100

Gurranang experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events expected in the future.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

20/100

Gurranang has a low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to the suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gurranang

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Gurranang experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events expected in the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Gurranang faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Gurranang has a low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to the suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.0

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Gurranang has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heatwave resilience
  • 4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and drainage systems
Elevation Range
Variable
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near waterways

Check local council flood maps for specific property risks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Variable, depending on location within the suburb
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for bushfire prone areas
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Maintain vegetation around properties to reduce bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Stay hydrated and seek air-conditioned environments during heatwave events.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
100 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event in the region caused widespread damage.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Gurranang, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased hospital admissions.

Source
2020
bushfireMajor

Significant bushfires affected the region, with widespread smoke and property loss.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Severe flooding event caused significant damage and displacement.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
bushfire606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
heat505.5(+0.5)6.0(+1.0)
coastal202.02.0

By 2030, Gurranang is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood, bushfire, and heat risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwave events, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to address potential water scarcity issues related to climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Near-term

Update building codes to ensure new construction is resilient to climate change impacts, such as flooding and bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Gurranang's Climate Risk Profile

Gurranang, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks, including flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The risk of flooding is primarily due to heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Bushfire risk is elevated due to the suburb's proximity to bushland areas. Heatwave events are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations.

Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Increased rainfall intensity will likely lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Hotter, drier conditions will increase the risk of bushfires. Average temperatures will continue to rise, leading to more heatwave events.

While Gurranang is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the impacts of climate change on other regions could have indirect consequences for the suburb. Changes in agricultural productivity, water availability, and migration patterns could all affect Gurranang.

Residents and property owners in Gurranang should take steps to prepare for these risks. This includes developing emergency plans, maintaining properties to reduce bushfire risk, and taking steps to stay cool during heatwave events. Local authorities are also working to implement adaptation measures to reduce the suburb's vulnerability to climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Gurranang?

Gurranang faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Gurranang?

Climate change could potentially decrease property values in high-risk areas due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Gurranang?

Maintain vegetation around your property, develop an emergency plan, and stay informed about bushfire risks through the NSW RFS website.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Gurranang?

Check local council flood maps and the NSW SES website for information about flood risks in your area.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Gurranang?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwave events.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Gurranang, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Gurranang →

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