Climate Risk in Hereford Hall, NSW

Hereford Hall, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Hereford Hall faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future, particularly in terms of increased heatwave frequency and intensity.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.1
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Hereford Hall

increasing

Flood

65/100

Hereford Hall faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

The area around Hereford Hall has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

71/100

Hereford Hall is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Hereford Hall is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Hereford Hall

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

71/100

Hereford Hall is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.6

2050

8.1

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Hereford Hall faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Hereford Hall is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The area around Hereford Hall has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Increased premiums possible due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential costs.
  • 4.Consider future climate projections for the area.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local Creeks
Elevation Range
Variable
Flood Zone
Potentially affected areas near creeks

Local creeks and drainage systems can be overwhelmed during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
RFS Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties adjacent to bushland are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the region due to heavy rainfall, impacting local infrastructure.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Hereford Hall, leading to property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
heatwaveMajor

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on emergency services.

Source
2020
bushfireCatastrophic

The Black Summer bushfires had a devastating impact on the region, with widespread property loss and environmental damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire424.4(+0.2)4.7(+0.5)
heat718.1(+1.0)9.1(+2.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Hereford Hall is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, with a moderate increase in flood and bushfire risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood-proofing measures for properties in high-risk areas.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management plans, clear vegetation around properties, and ensure access to water for firefighting.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Hereford Hall's Climate Risk Profile

Hereford Hall, located in New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Due to its geographical location, the suburb is somewhat susceptible to flooding from intense rainfall events.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during hot and dry conditions. The risk is projected to increase with climate change, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire seasons.

Heatwaves are another significant concern, especially for vulnerable populations. The urban environment can amplify the effects of heatwaves, leading to increased health risks. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves in the region.

While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, the suburb is still indirectly affected by broader climate change impacts. These include potential disruptions to supply chains and increased strain on resources.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Hereford Hall?

The main climate risks in Hereford Hall are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by implementing flood-proofing measures, such as raising electrical outlets and installing flood barriers.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, stay in air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about bushfire preparedness?

Information about bushfire preparedness can be found on the NSW Rural Fire Service website.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The local council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections