Climate Risk in Hollisdale, New South Wales

Hollisdale, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Hollisdale faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, with increasing heat risk due to climate change. The suburb's inland location mitigates coastal risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Hollisdale

increasing

Flood

60/100

Hollisdale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

The bushfire risk in Hollisdale is high due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

40/100

Hollisdale experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

20/100

Hollisdale has a low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Hollisdale

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Hollisdale experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Hollisdale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Hollisdale has a low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.0

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

The bushfire risk in Hollisdale is high due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
  • 4.Develop an emergency plan.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Hastings River
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near Hastings River

Historical flood data indicates inundation of properties near the Hastings River during major rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to state forest
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the coming decades.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Minimal direct exposure
Erosion Risk
Negligible

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Major flooding of the Hastings River caused widespread inundation of low-lying areas.

Source
2019
bushfireMajor

Severe bushfires impacted the region, with significant property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
stormModerate

Severe storms caused flash flooding and damage to infrastructure.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to heat stress and health impacts.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat404.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
coastal202.02.0

By 2030, Hollisdale is projected to experience increased flooding and bushfire risk due to climate change. Heatwaves will become more frequent and intense.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a household emergency plan

Immediate

Create a plan that includes evacuation routes, emergency contacts, and essential supplies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Maintain property to reduce bushfire risk

Near-term

Clear vegetation around buildings, clean gutters, and ensure adequate water supply.

Est. cost: Low to Medium

Learn more

Improve home insulation and cooling

Near-term

Install insulation, use energy-efficient appliances, and consider air conditioning.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Support local flood mitigation projects

Long-term

Advocate for improved drainage infrastructure and flood management strategies.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Hollisdale's Climate Risk Profile

Hollisdale is a suburb in New South Wales that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding and bushfires, which are expected to become more frequent and intense due to climate change.

Flooding is a significant risk due to the proximity of waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. Bushfires pose a high risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk of bushfires, threatening lives and properties.

Heat risk is also increasing, with rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future. This can lead to heat stress and other health impacts, particularly for vulnerable populations. Coastal risks are relatively low due to the suburb's inland location.

Residents and property owners should take steps to prepare for these risks, including developing emergency plans, maintaining properties, and staying informed about weather conditions and warnings. Local authorities are working to implement adaptation measures to reduce the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Port Macquarie-Hastings Council

Local Government Resources

Port Macquarie-Hastings Council

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Hollisdale?

The main climate risks in Hollisdale are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.

How can I prepare my home for flooding?

You can prepare your home for flooding by elevating appliances, sealing walls, and installing flood barriers. It's also important to have an emergency plan.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, follow the advice of emergency services. If you are in a high-risk area, evacuate early. If you are staying, protect your home and be prepared to defend it.

How can I stay cool during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned buildings. Drink plenty of water, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Hollisdale?

You can find more information about climate change impacts in Hollisdale from the Port Macquarie-Hastings Council, the NSW State Emergency Service, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections