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Climate Risk in Ingleside, NSW

Ingleside, New South Wales· 2101
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Ingleside faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and flooding. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ingleside

increasing

Flood

60/100

Ingleside faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Ingleside has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Dry vegetation
increasing

Heat

40/100

Ingleside experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Ingleside has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ingleside

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Ingleside experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Ingleside faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Ingleside has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.2

2050

1.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Ingleside has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased ignition sources

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and flooding.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Narrabeen Lagoon
Elevation Range
5-100m
Flood Zone
Areas near Narrabeen Lagoon are prone to flooding.

Local drainage infrastructure may be insufficient to handle extreme rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by Ku-ring-gai Chase National Park and Garigal National Park
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Many properties are located within or adjacent to bushfire-prone areas.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
27.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

1994
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Ingleside, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2007
stormModerate

Severe storms caused flash flooding and property damage in Ingleside.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Ingleside required firefighting efforts to prevent it from spreading to residential areas.

Source
2020
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in low-lying areas of Ingleside, impacting homes and businesses.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.3(+0.3)6.7(+0.7)
bushfire707.4(+0.4)7.9(+0.9)
heat404.1(+0.1)4.5(+0.5)
coastal101.01.1(+0.1)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Ingleside is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing more than other hazards.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Immediate

Conduct regular vegetation clearing, create firebreaks, and educate residents on bushfire preparedness.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, provide public awareness campaigns, and support vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water through rainwater harvesting, efficient irrigation, and water-wise landscaping.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Ingleside's Climate Risk Profile

Ingleside, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates the risk of bushfires, particularly during hot and dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire events, posing a significant threat to properties and lives.

Flooding is another concern for Ingleside, with intense rainfall events capable of causing flash flooding in low-lying areas. Urban development and inadequate drainage systems can worsen the impact of floods. Climate projections indicate an increase in extreme rainfall events, further increasing the risk of flooding.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves are also expected to impact Ingleside. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are particularly at risk during heatwaves. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate the impact of heat in densely populated areas.

While coastal risks are relatively low, sea level rise and coastal erosion could still pose a threat in the long term. It is essential to monitor these risks and implement appropriate adaptation measures to protect coastal assets and communities. Overall, Ingleside needs to focus on mitigation and adaptation strategies to reduce the impact of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES · Northern Beaches Council

Local Government Resources

Northern Beaches Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Ingleside?

The main climate risks in Ingleside are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation, creating firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a flood?

During a flood, you should move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, stay in air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Ingleside?

You can find more information about climate change in Ingleside on the Northern Beaches Council website and the NSW Government's environment website.

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