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Climate Risk Profile: Irvington, NSW

Irvington, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Irvington faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The risk of these hazards is projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
3.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Irvington

increasing

Flood

60/100

Irvington faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The bushfire risk in Irvington is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, but still present due to nearby vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions will likely exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Irvington is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

30/100

Coastal risks are low for Irvington due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Limited coastal proximity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Irvington

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Irvington is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Irvington faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

30/100

Coastal risks are low for Irvington due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Limited coastal proximity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.0

2050

3.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The bushfire risk in Irvington is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, but still present due to nearby vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions will likely exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and heatwave risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and drainage systems
Elevation Range
Variable, ranging from low-lying areas to higher ground
Flood Zone
Areas near creeks are prone to flooding

Local council has implemented some flood mitigation measures, but further upgrades may be needed.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Variable, some areas border bushland
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone areas
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain their properties to reduce bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Vulnerable populations should take extra precautions during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Irvington.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions affected Irvington, with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several days.

Source
2017
stormMinor

A severe thunderstorm caused minor damage to property in Irvington.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Another heatwave event impacted Irvington, placing strain on local resources.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal303.03.0

By 2030, Irvington is projected to experience a noticeable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a higher risk of flooding. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and levees.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement community education programs on bushfire preparedness and property maintenance.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Building Codes

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure new buildings are more resilient to climate change impacts, such as flooding and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Irvington's Climate Risk Profile

Irvington, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks, with flooding and heatwaves being the most prominent concerns. The suburb's location makes it susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and nearby waterways. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to more frequent and intense flooding events.

Heatwaves are also a significant concern for Irvington. Rising global temperatures are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a threat to vulnerable populations. The urban environment can further amplify the effects of heatwaves, creating an urban heat island effect.

While bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other regions in NSW, it is still a factor to consider, especially during dry periods. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns can increase the likelihood of bushfires in the surrounding areas.

Coastal risks are minimal for Irvington due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not expected to have a direct impact on the suburb. However, residents should be aware of the potential for indirect impacts, such as disruptions to transportation and supply chains.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Irvington?

The main climate change risks for Irvington are increased flooding and more frequent and intense heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern, although less significant than flooding and heatwaves.

How is the local council preparing for climate change?

The local council is developing a climate strategy to address climate change risks and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. They are also investing in flood mitigation measures and developing a heat action plan.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Irvington?

During heatwaves, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I protect my property from flooding in Irvington?

If your property is in a flood-prone area, consider installing flood barriers, raising electrical appliances, and storing valuables above flood level. Check your insurance policy for flood coverage.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Irvington?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Irvington on the local council website, the NSW government website, and the CSIRO website.

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